Brown
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee
Projected points12.3pts
if he plays · 46% to play
Burden
WR · CHI @ SEA
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points12.1pts
Bench
A.J. Brown or Luther Burden III: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start A.J. Brown. If he's inactive, start Luther Burden III.
- Confidence
- Depends on inactives
- A.J. Brown may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 82%
- of leagues
Flips if
If A.J. Brown is inactive, start Luther Burden III.
Risk
A.J. Brown missed practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start Luther Burden III. Weather in A.J. Brown's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 1:00 PM ET
Highlights
BrownWR · NE @ MIAUsually 6.4+5.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.49 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 48.5 receiving yards, above his usual 33.7.
- +1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 3.0.
- 20.3ceilingHis best weeks reach about 20.3 points.
Hurts him
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
BurdenWR · CHI @ SEAUsually 13.9−1.8pts this week
Helps him
- 23.7last weekHe caught 4 for 130 yards and a touchdown last week (23.7 points).
Hurts him
- −1.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.0 receiving yards, below his usual 70.1.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.0.
- SEAvs WRsEdgeSEA is the 2nd toughest defense for receivers.
- 61%snapsHe plays only 61% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBrown: 12.3 (best)Burden: 12.1
TD pointsof the projectionBrown: 2.9 (best)Burden: 2.1
Expected TDsthis weekBrown: 0.49 (best)Burden: 0.35
Projected team pointsBrown: 25.0 (best)Burden: 21.8
Goal line carriesper gameBrown: 0.0Burden: 0.1 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameBrown: 0.0Burden: 0.4 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameBrown: 1.0Burden: 1.3 (best)
Role
Snap shareBrown: 70% (best)Burden: 61%
Usage worthptsBrown: 11.7Burden: 12.8 (best)
Touch shareBrown: 6%Burden: 10% (best)
Target shareBrown: 22% (best)Burden: 21%
Touches / gameBrown: 3.0Burden: 6.1 (best)
Targets / gameBrown: 6.7Burden: 6.7
Air yards shareBrown: 36% (best)Burden: 26%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBrown: BelowBurden: In line
WOPRBrown: 0.56 (best)Burden: 0.49
RZ target shareBrown: 30% (best)Burden: 25%
Catch rateBrown: 45%Burden: 74% (best)
SeparationBrown: 2.1 ydsBurden: 3.1 yds (best)
YAC over expectedBrown: −1.1Burden: +0.5 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredBrown: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 6.4Burden: Earned by usage 12.8Scored 13.9
Rush yards / gameBrown: 0.0Burden: 4.1 (best)
Points from rushingBrown: 0%Burden: 3%
Vacated targets this weekBrown: 9.0 (best)Burden: 2.0
High value touches / gameBrown: 3.0Burden: 5.1 (best)
Goal line carry shareBrown: Team had noneBurden: 4%
Red zone touches / gameBrown: 1.0Burden: 1.7 (best)
Rush success rateBrown: 0 carriesBurden: 50%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Brown: 0 carriesBurden: 0%
Inside 10 target shareBrown: 17%Burden: 20% (best)
Rushing points / gameBrown: 0.0 pts / gameBurden: 0.4 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorBrown: 0.0 pts / gameBurden: 0.2 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorBrown: 6.8Burden: 7.4 (best)
CeilingBrown: 20.3 (best)Burden: 18.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBrown: 0%Burden: 12%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Brown: 3 gamesBurden: 14%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterBrown: 3 gamesBurden: 14%
SteadinessBrown: 3 gamesBurden: Very steady±6.5 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBrown: D- (best)2026, 6 gmBurden: F2026, 7 gm
Game scriptBrown: Expected to lead (best)Burden: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBrown: 0.8 (best)Burden: 1.7
Defense funnelBrown: NeutralBurden: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBrown: 18th (average) (best)Burden: 1st (tough)
Starting QBBrown: Maye (Active)Burden: Williams (Active)
WeatherBrown: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rainBurden: No concern
Roof / surfaceBrown: OpengrassBurden: Openturf
Rest / scheduleBrown: 10 days restBurden: 11 days rest
Opp paceBrown: 31st (slow)Burden: 9th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBrown: 2.01st (tough)Burden: 2.9 (best)11th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedBrown: 72% (best)31st (soft)Burden: 56%3rd (tough)
Opp rush yds allowedBrown: 16th (average) (best)Burden: 6th (tough)
Opp stuff rateBrown: 18% (best)15th (average)Burden: 22%4th (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedBrown: 4.3 (best)21st (average)Burden: 3.42nd (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgBrown: 6.4Burden: 16.7 (best)
Last 5 avgBrown: 6.4Burden: 16.3 (best)
vs seasonBrown: RisingBurden: +2.8 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryBrown: 0 carriesBurden: 3.6
Carries / gameBrown: 0.0Burden: 1.1 (best)
Yards per route runBrown: 1.46Burden: 2.87 (best)
Receiving aDOTBrown: 13.4Burden: 8.5
Target share trendBrown: SteadyBurden: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesBrown: 83%Burden: 85% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBrown: WR19 (best)Burden: WR21
Yards linereceivingBrown: 48.5Burden: 51.0 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.