London
WR · ATL @ TB
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points17.4pts
Brown
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee
Projected points12.3pts
if he plays · 46% to play
Start
Bench
A.J. Brown or Drake London: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Drake London over A.J. Brown.
- Ahead by
- +11.8pts
- over Brown
- Confidence
- High
- A.J. Brown may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 98%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on Drake London or a bigger role for A.J. Brown.
Risk
Weather in Drake London's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. A.J. Brown missed practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in A.J. Brown's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
LondonStartWR · ATL @ TBUsually 15.4+2.0pts this week
Helps him
- +2.2ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.51 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.
- +1.1ptscatchesHis lines put him at 6.5 catches, above his usual 5.4.
- 29%targetsHe draws 29% of his team’s targets.
- 10.4floorA quiet week still projects to about 10.4 points.
Hurts him
- −1.1ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 77.5 receiving yards, below his usual 88.0.
- TBvs WRsEdgeTB is the 3rd toughest defense for receivers.
BrownFirst outWR · NE @ MIAUsually 6.4+5.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.49 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 48.5 receiving yards, above his usual 33.7.
- +1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 3.0.
Hurts him
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionLondon: 17.4 (best)Brown: 12.3
TD pointsof the projectionLondon: 3.1 (best)Brown: 2.9
Expected TDsthis weekLondon: 0.51 (best)Brown: 0.49
Projected team pointsLondon: 20.5Brown: 25.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameLondon: 0.7Brown: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareLondon: 89% (best)Brown: 70%
Usage worthptsLondon: 13.5 (best)Brown: 11.7
Target shareLondon: 29% (best)Brown: 22%
Targets / gameLondon: 8.0 (best)Brown: 6.7
Air yards shareLondon: 44% (best)Brown: 36%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsLondon: In lineBrown: Below
WOPRLondon: 0.73 (best)Brown: 0.56
RZ target shareLondon: 16%Brown: 30% (best)
Catch rateLondon: 68% (best)Brown: 45%
SeparationLondon: 3.1 yds (best)Brown: 2.1 yds
YAC over expectedLondon: +1.8 (best)Brown: −1.1
Usage worth vs scoredLondon: Earned by usage 13.5Scored 15.4Brown: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 6.4
Vacated targets this weekLondon: 0.0Brown: 9.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareLondon: 9%Brown: 17% (best)
Range
FloorLondon: 10.4 (best)Brown: 6.8
CeilingLondon: 28.6 (best)Brown: 20.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerLondon: 6%Brown: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)London: 25%Brown: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterLondon: 17%Brown: 3 games
SteadinessLondon: Steady±9.6 ptsBrown: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionLondon: D-2026, 7 gmBrown: D-2026, 6 gm
Game scriptLondon: Expected to trailBrown: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterLondon: 1.7Brown: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelLondon: NeutralBrown: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedLondon: 14th (average)Brown: 18th (average) (best)
Starting QBLondon: Penix (Active)Brown: Maye (Active)
WeatherLondon: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainBrown: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassLondon: OpenBrown: Open
Rest / scheduleLondon: NormalBrown: 10 days rest
Opp paceLondon: 14th (average) (best)Brown: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameLondon: 2.4 (best)9th (tough)Brown: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedLondon: 63%20th (average)Brown: 72% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgLondon: 16.9 (best)Brown: 6.4
Last 5 avgLondon: 18.7 (best)Brown: 6.4
vs seasonLondon: +1.4 (Rising) (best)Brown: Rising
Yards per route runLondon: 3.29 (best)Brown: 1.46
Receiving aDOTLondon: 9.9Brown: 13.4
Target share trendLondon: SteadyBrown: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesLondon: 98% (best)Brown: 83%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterLondon: WR7 (best)Brown: WR19
Yards linereceivingLondon: 77.5 (best)Brown: 48.5
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