Start A.J. Brown. Bench Garrett Wilson. A.J. Brown leads at 11.3. Garrett Wilson is the first one out, 0.8 short.

Crowd: started Brown 98% · Wilson 93%

Nuvela’s read

A.J. Brown projects 11.3 points on a 10.5–24.3 range. The matchup grades as tough against SEA. Usage: targets / game at 8.1. Net: A.J. Brown is start this week.

Garrett Wilson projects 10.5 points on a 8.0–18.4 range. The matchup grades as favorable against TEN. Usage: targets / game at 8.4. Net: Garrett Wilson is a bench this week.

What flips it: Sit Garrett Wilson — projects 10.5, a favorable matchup vs TEN, but the role is cooling.

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Week 1 hasn’t kicked off — recent form, opportunity and matchup are based on the 2025 season, and update as the season is played.

	BrownStart	WilsonBen
Projection (median)	11.3	10.5
Floor	10.5	8.0
Ceiling	24.3	18.4
Target share	29%	35%
Matchup grade (recency weighted)	D	A-
Implied team total	20.5	18.5

History

Recents

Start A.J. Brown. Bench Garrett Wilson. A.J. Brown leads at 11.3. Garrett Wilson is the first one out, 0.8 short.

Start A.J. Brown. Bench Garrett Wilson. A.J. Brown leads at 11.3. Garrett Wilson is the first one out, 0.8 short.