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Week7 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison

Brown

WR · NE vs CHI

FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE

Final points7.8pts

projected 15.6

Wilson

WR · NYJ vs MIA

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points14.5pts

A.J. Brown or Garrett Wilson: who should I start in Week 7?

A.J. Brown already played (7.8 pts, final). If he's in your lineup, those points are banked; if not, he can't help you this week. Compare Garrett Wilson with your other options.

Highlights

Injuries as of Mon 7:53 PM ET

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    —

    Also worth knowing

    • He plays only 60% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
    • EdgeCHI allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they're soft (2.04 pts, 4th softest).

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    —

    • Hurts him: His lines put him at 63.0 receiving yards, below his usual 69.7.−0.7 pts
    • Everything else−0.6 pts

    Usually scores 15.8 → projected 14.5−1.3 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • He draws 29% of his team's targets.
    • 37% of his games have been big weeks.
    • EdgeMIA is the 2nd toughest defense for receivers.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBrown: 15.6 (best)Wilson: 14.5
TD pointsof the projectionBrown: 3.1 (best)Wilson: 2.6
Expected TDsthis weekBrown: 0.51 (best)Wilson: 0.44
Projected team pointsBrown: 23.8 (best)Wilson: 22.0
Red zone targetsper gameBrown: 1.5 (best)Wilson: 0.7
Role
Snap shareBrown: 60%Wilson: 91% (best)
Usage worthptsBrown: 12.1Wilson: 12.7 (best)
Target shareBrown: 23%Wilson: 29% (best)
Targets / gameBrown: 7.0Wilson: 8.0 (best)
Air yards shareBrown: 25%Wilson: 39% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBrown: BelowWilson: Above
WOPRBrown: 0.51Wilson: 0.70 (best)
RZ target shareBrown: 33% (best)Wilson: 20%
Catch rateBrown: 43%Wilson: 73% (best)
SeparationBrown: 2.8 yds (best)Wilson: 2.5 yds
YAC over expectedBrown: +0.1Wilson: +0.6 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredBrown: Earned by usage 12.1Scored 5.7Wilson: Earned by usage 12.7Scored 15.8
Vacated targets this weekBrown: 9.0 (best)Wilson: 0.5
Inside 10 target shareBrown: 17%Wilson: 33% (best)
Range
FloorBrown: 8.5Wilson: 8.6 (best)
CeilingBrown: 25.6 (best)Wilson: 23.2
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBrown: 0%Wilson: 19%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Brown: 2 gamesWilson: 37%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterBrown: 2 gamesWilson: 21%
SteadinessBrown: 2 gamesWilson: Steady±8.3 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBrown: B- (best)2026, 6 gmWilson: D-2026, 5 gm
Game scriptBrown: Expected to trailWilson: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBrown: 1.5Wilson: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelBrown: NeutralWilson: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBrown: 15th (average) (best)Wilson: 12th (average)
Starting QBBrown: Maye (Active)Wilson: Smith (Active)
Opp defender outBrown: Edwards (LB)Wilson: None listed
Roof / surfaceBrown: OpenWilson: Openturf
Rest / scheduleBrown: Short week (4d)Wilson: Normal
Opp paceBrown: 1st (fast) (best)Wilson: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBrown: 3.5 (best)24th (soft)Wilson: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedBrown: 60%13th (average)Wilson: 73% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgBrown: 2 gamesWilson: 12.5
Last 5 avgBrown: 2 gamesWilson: 16.2
vs seasonBrown: 0.0 (best)Wilson: −3.3 (Cooling)
Yards per route runBrown: 1.32Wilson: 2.39 (best)
Receiving aDOTBrown: 8.4Wilson: 9.6
Target share trendBrown: 2 gamesWilson: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesBrown: 90%Wilson: 94% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBrown: WR13 (best)Wilson: WR18
Yards linereceivingBrown: 69.5 (best)Wilson: 63.0

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