Bernard
WR · PIT vs CLE
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points10.8pts
Brown
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee
Projected points12.3pts
if he plays · 46% to play
Lean
Bench
A.J. Brown or Germie Bernard: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Germie Bernard over A.J. Brown.
- Ahead by
- +5.2pts
- over Brown
- Confidence
- Moderate
- A.J. Brown may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 51%
- of leagues
Flips if
If A.J. Brown gets a full practice in, he's the start.
Risk
A.J. Brown missed practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in A.J. Brown's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
BernardLeanWR · PIT vs CLEUsually 8.4+2.3pts this week
Helps him
- +2.2pts3 linesReceiving yards 44.5 (usual 36.3), touchdowns 0.28 (usual 0.14) and catches 4.5 (usual 3.9) all sit above his usual.
- +6.9last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 6.9 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- 5.4floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.4 points.
BrownFirst outWR · NE @ MIAUsually 6.4+5.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.49 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 48.5 receiving yards, above his usual 33.7.
- +1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 3.0.
- 20.3ceilingHis best weeks reach about 20.3 points.
Hurts him
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBernard: 10.8Brown: 12.3 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionBernard: 1.7Brown: 2.9 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekBernard: 0.28Brown: 0.49 (best)
Projected team pointsBernard: 21.5Brown: 25.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameBernard: 0.9Brown: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareBernard: 61%Brown: 70% (best)
Usage worthptsBernard: 9.1Brown: 11.7 (best)
Target shareBernard: 15%Brown: 22% (best)
Targets / gameBernard: 5.3Brown: 6.7 (best)
Air yards shareBernard: 12%Brown: 36% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBernard: In lineBrown: Below
WOPRBernard: 0.33Brown: 0.56 (best)
RZ target shareBernard: 20%Brown: 30% (best)
Catch rateBernard: 73% (best)Brown: 45%
SeparationBernard: 3.2 yds (best)Brown: 2.1 yds
YAC over expectedBernard: +1.0 (best)Brown: −1.1
Usage worth vs scoredBernard: Earned by usage 9.1Scored 8.4Brown: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 6.4
Vacated targets this weekBernard: 9.0Brown: 9.0
Inside 10 target shareBernard: 8%Brown: 17% (best)
Range
FloorBernard: 5.4Brown: 6.8 (best)
CeilingBernard: 18.2Brown: 20.3 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBernard: 10%Brown: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Bernard: 17%Brown: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterBernard: 50%Brown: 3 games
SteadinessBernard: Volatile±8.9 pts · 6 gamesBrown: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBernard: C+ (best)2026, 7 gmBrown: D-2026, 6 gm
Game scriptBernard: Expected to leadBrown: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBernard: 1.3Brown: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelBernard: NeutralBrown: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBernard: 8th (tough)Brown: 18th (average) (best)
Starting QBBernard: Rodgers (Active)Brown: Maye (Active)
Opp defender outBernard: Davis (DT)Brown: None listed
WeatherBernard: No concernBrown: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassBernard: OpenBrown: Open
Rest / scheduleBernard: NormalBrown: 10 days rest
Opp paceBernard: 22nd (slow) (best)Brown: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBernard: 5.0 (best)32nd (soft)Brown: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedBernard: 58%6th (tough)Brown: 72% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgBernard: 15.3 (best)Brown: 6.4
Last 5 avgBernard: 10.3 (best)Brown: 6.4
vs seasonBernard: +6.9 (Rising) (best)Brown: Rising
Yards per route runBernard: 1.59 (best)Brown: 1.46
Receiving aDOTBernard: 5.7Brown: 13.4
Target share trendBernard: CoolingBrown: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesBernard: 52%Brown: 83% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBernard: WR28Brown: WR19 (best)
Yards linereceivingBernard: 44.5Brown: 48.5 (best)
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