Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA vs CHI
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points21.9pts
Brown
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee
Projected points12.3pts
if he plays · 46% to play
Start
Bench
A.J. Brown or Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over A.J. Brown.
- Ahead by
- +9.6pts
- over Brown if he plays
- Confidence
- High
- A.J. Brown may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 99%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on Jaxon Smith-Njigba or a bigger role for A.J. Brown.
Risk
A.J. Brown missed practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in A.J. Brown's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
Smith-NjigbaStartWR · SEA vs CHIUsually 28.0−6.2pts this week
Helps him
- 37%targetsHe draws 37% of his team’s targets.
- 11.1per gameHe sees 11.1 targets a game.
- 16.2floorA quiet week still projects to about 16.2 points.
Hurts him
- −2.6ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.71 touchdowns, below his usual 1.14.
- −2.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 99.0 receiving yards, below his usual 123.9.
- −0.8ptscatchesHis lines put him at 7.5 catches, below his usual 8.3.
- 5th softestper targetEdgeCHI allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they’re soft (1.99 pts, 5th softest).
BrownFirst outWR · NE @ MIAUsually 6.4+5.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.49 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 48.5 receiving yards, above his usual 33.7.
- +1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 3.0.
Hurts him
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSmith-Njigba: 21.9 (best)Brown: 12.3
TD pointsof the projectionSmith-Njigba: 4.3 (best)Brown: 2.9
Expected TDsthis weekSmith-Njigba: 0.71 (best)Brown: 0.49
Projected team pointsSmith-Njigba: 24.8Brown: 25.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameSmith-Njigba: 1.7 (best)Brown: 1.0
Role
Snap shareSmith-Njigba: 84% (best)Brown: 70%
Usage worthptsSmith-Njigba: 20.0 (best)Brown: 11.7
Target shareSmith-Njigba: 37% (best)Brown: 22%
Targets / gameSmith-Njigba: 11.1 (best)Brown: 6.7
Air yards shareSmith-Njigba: 51% (best)Brown: 36%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsSmith-Njigba: AboveBrown: Below
WOPRSmith-Njigba: 0.92 (best)Brown: 0.56
RZ target shareSmith-Njigba: 41% (best)Brown: 30%
Catch rateSmith-Njigba: 74% (best)Brown: 45%
SeparationSmith-Njigba: 2.6 yds (best)Brown: 2.1 yds
YAC over expectedSmith-Njigba: +0.5 (best)Brown: −1.1
Usage worth vs scoredSmith-Njigba: Earned by usage 20.0Scored 28.0Brown: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 6.4
Vacated targets this weekSmith-Njigba: 1.0Brown: 9.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareSmith-Njigba: 46% (best)Brown: 17%
Range
FloorSmith-Njigba: 16.2 (best)Brown: 6.8
CeilingSmith-Njigba: 32.8 (best)Brown: 20.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSmith-Njigba: 25%Brown: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Smith-Njigba: 75%Brown: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterSmith-Njigba: 4%Brown: 3 games
SteadinessSmith-Njigba: Very steady±9.9 ptsBrown: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionSmith-Njigba: C+ (best)2026, 7 gmBrown: D-2026, 6 gm
Game scriptSmith-Njigba: Expected to leadBrown: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSmith-Njigba: 1.4Brown: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelSmith-Njigba: NeutralBrown: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSmith-Njigba: 20th (average) (best)Brown: 18th (average)
Starting QBSmith-Njigba: Darnold (Active)Brown: Maye (Active)
Opp defender outSmith-Njigba: Johnson (SAF)Brown: None listed
WeatherSmith-Njigba: No concernBrown: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceSmith-Njigba: OpenturfBrown: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleSmith-Njigba: NormalBrown: 10 days rest
Opp paceSmith-Njigba: 1st (fast) (best)Brown: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSmith-Njigba: 3.3 (best)19th (average)Brown: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedSmith-Njigba: 60%11th (average)Brown: 72% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgSmith-Njigba: 26.5 (best)Brown: 6.4
Last 5 avgSmith-Njigba: 25.5 (best)Brown: 6.4
vs seasonSmith-Njigba: −1.5 (Steady)Brown: Rising (best)
Yards per route runSmith-Njigba: 4.21 (best)Brown: 1.46
Receiving aDOTSmith-Njigba: 10.4Brown: 13.4
Target share trendSmith-Njigba: RisingBrown: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesSmith-Njigba: 100% (best)Brown: 83%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSmith-Njigba: WR1 (best)Brown: WR19
Yards linereceivingSmith-Njigba: 99.0 (best)Brown: 48.5
Deciding on someone else?
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