Wilson
WR · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Ribs
Projected points13.0pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Brown
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee
Projected points12.3pts
if he plays · 46% to play
Start · check inactives
Bench
A.J. Brown or Michael Wilson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Michael Wilson. If he's inactive, start A.J. Brown.
- Ahead by
- +0.7pts
- over Brown if he plays
- Confidence
- Depends on inactives
- Michael Wilson may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 82%
- of leagues
Flips if
If Michael Wilson is inactive, start A.J. Brown.
Risk
Michael Wilson was limited in practice (ribs): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start A.J. Brown. A.J. Brown missed practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in A.J. Brown's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 1:00 PM ET
Highlights
WilsonStart · check inactivesWR · ARI @ DALUsually 11.7+1.3pts this week
Helps him
- +1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.46 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.
- 9.4per gameHe sees 9.4 targets a game.
- 90%snapsHe is on the field for 90% of snaps.
Hurts him
- −0.8ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.3.
- 2nd softestper targetEdgeDAL allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they’re soft (2.06 pts, 2nd softest).
BrownIf he sitsWR · NE @ MIAUsually 6.4+5.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.49 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 48.5 receiving yards, above his usual 33.7.
- +1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 3.0.
Hurts him
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilson: 13.0 (best)Brown: 12.3
TD pointsof the projectionWilson: 2.8Brown: 2.9 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekWilson: 0.46Brown: 0.49 (best)
Projected team pointsWilson: 23.8Brown: 25.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameWilson: 1.9 (best)Brown: 1.0
Role
Snap shareWilson: 90% (best)Brown: 70%
Usage worthptsWilson: 17.4 (best)Brown: 11.7
Target shareWilson: 24% (best)Brown: 22%
Targets / gameWilson: 9.4 (best)Brown: 6.7
Air yards shareWilson: 36%Brown: 36%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWilson: BelowBrown: Below
WOPRWilson: 0.64 (best)Brown: 0.56
RZ target shareWilson: 23%Brown: 30% (best)
Catch rateWilson: 56% (best)Brown: 45%
SeparationWilson: 2.1 ydsBrown: 2.1 yds
YAC over expectedWilson: −0.1 (best)Brown: −1.1
Usage worth vs scoredWilson: Earned by usage 17.4Scored 11.7Brown: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 6.4
Vacated targets this weekWilson: 3.3Brown: 9.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareWilson: 29% (best)Brown: 17%
Range
FloorWilson: 6.7Brown: 6.8 (best)
CeilingWilson: 21.6 (best)Brown: 20.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilson: 7%Brown: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Wilson: 25%Brown: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWilson: 13%Brown: 3 games
SteadinessWilson: Steady±9.4 ptsBrown: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionWilson: B+ (best)2026, 7 gmBrown: D-2026, 6 gm
Game scriptWilson: Expected to trailBrown: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilson: 0.6 (best)Brown: 0.8
Defense funnelWilson: NeutralBrown: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilson: 15th (average)Brown: 18th (average) (best)
Starting QBWilson: Brissett (Active)Brown: Maye (Active)
Opp defender outWilson: Bullard (DE)Brown: None listed
WeatherWilson: No concernBrown: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceWilson: Retractable roofturfBrown: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleWilson: NormalBrown: 10 days rest
Opp paceWilson: 9th (fast) (best)Brown: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilson: 4.6 (best)29th (soft)Brown: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedWilson: 65%25th (soft)Brown: 72% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgWilson: 8.4 (best)Brown: 6.4
Last 5 avgWilson: 13.5 (best)Brown: 6.4
vs seasonWilson: −3.3 (Cooling)Brown: Rising (best)
Yards per route runWilson: 1.40Brown: 1.46 (best)
Receiving aDOTWilson: 10.3Brown: 13.4
Target share trendWilson: SteadyBrown: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilson: 82%Brown: 83% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilson: WR17 (best)Brown: WR19
Yards linereceivingWilson: 56.5 (best)Brown: 48.5
Deciding on someone else?
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