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Week8 · 2026
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Brown

WR · NE @ MIA

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee

Projected points12.3pts

if he plays · 46% to play

Rice

WR · KC @ DEN

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Hamstring

Projected points11.8pts

if he plays · 80% to play

Bench

A.J. Brown or Rashee Rice: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Start A.J. Brown. If he's inactive, start Rashee Rice.

Confidence
Depends on inactives
A.J. Brown may not play (about 46% to play)
Started
82%
of leagues

Flips if

If A.J. Brown is inactive, start Rashee Rice.

Risk

A.J. Brown missed practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start Rashee Rice. Weather in A.J. Brown's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. Rashee Rice was limited in practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Rashee Rice missed his last 2 games (hamstring). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
BrownWR · NE @ MIAUsually 6.4+5.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. +2.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.49 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
  2. +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 48.5 receiving yards, above his usual 33.7.
  3. +1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 3.0.
  4. 20.3ceilingHis best weeks reach about 20.3 points.

Hurts him

  1. MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
RiceWR · KC @ DENUsually 12.7−0.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. OutEllissEdgeHe faces a Broncos defense without linebacker Jonah Elliss.
  2. 15.8last weekHe caught 7 for 88 yards in Week 3 (15.8 points).

Hurts him

  1. −1.2ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.5 receiving yards, below his usual 63.3.
  2. 4.2per gameHe sees only 4.2 targets a game.
  3. toughestper targetEdgeDEN allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.41 pts, toughest).

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBrown: 12.3 (best)Rice: 11.8
TD pointsof the projectionBrown: 2.9 (best)Rice: 2.0
Expected TDsthis weekBrown: 0.49 (best)Rice: 0.34
Projected team pointsBrown: 25.0 (best)Rice: 20.8
Red zone targetsper gameBrown: 1.0Rice: 1.0
Role
Snap shareBrown: 70% (best)Rice: 62%
Usage worthptsBrown: 11.7 (best)Rice: 7.7
Target shareBrown: 22% (best)Rice: 15%
Targets / gameBrown: 6.7 (best)Rice: 4.3
Air yards shareBrown: 36% (best)Rice: 15%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBrown: BelowRice: In line
WOPRBrown: 0.56 (best)Rice: 0.35
RZ target shareBrown: 30% (best)Rice: 19%
Catch rateBrown: 45%Rice: 76% (best)
SeparationBrown: 2.1 ydsRice: 4.2 yds (best)
YAC over expectedBrown: −1.1Rice: +1.7 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredBrown: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 6.4Rice: Earned by usage 7.7Scored 9.5
Vacated targets this weekBrown: 9.0 (best)Rice: 3.8
Inside 10 target shareBrown: 17% (best)Rice: 0%
Range
FloorBrown: 6.8Rice: 7.6 (best)
CeilingBrown: 20.3 (best)Rice: 18.9
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBrown: 0%Rice: 16%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Brown: 3 gamesRice: 29%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterBrown: 3 gamesRice: 0%
SteadinessBrown: 3 gamesRice: Very steady±7.3 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBrown: D-2026, 6 gmRice: D (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptBrown: Expected to lead (best)Rice: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBrown: 0.8 (best)Rice: 1.4
Defense funnelBrown: NeutralRice: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBrown: 18th (average) (best)Rice: 17th (average)
Starting QBBrown: Maye (Active)Rice: Mahomes (Active)
Opp defender outBrown: None listedRice: Elliss (LB)
WeatherBrown: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rainRice: No concern
Roof / surfacegrassBrown: OpenRice: Open
Rest / scheduleBrown: 10 days restRice: Normal
Opp paceBrown: 31st (slow)Rice: 30th (slow) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBrown: 2.01st (tough)Rice: 3.3 (best)19th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedBrown: 72% (best)31st (soft)Rice: 54%2nd (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgBrown: 6.4Rice: 9.4 (best)
Last 5 avgBrown: 6.4Rice: 9.5 (best)
vs seasonBrown: Rising (best)Rice: −0.1
Yards per route runBrown: 1.46Rice: 2.47 (best)
Receiving aDOTBrown: 13.4Rice: 7.4
Target share trendBrown: SteadyRice: Left Week 4 hurt
Games since injuryBrown: None recentlyRice: 0
Crowd
Started in leaguesBrown: 83% (best)Rice: 47%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBrown: WR19 (best)Rice: WR22
Yards linereceivingBrown: 48.5Rice: 51.5 (best)

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