McMillan
WR · CAR @ GB
FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR
Final points11.8pts
projected 15.7
Brown
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee
Projected points12.3pts
if he plays · 46% to play
A.J. Brown or Tetairoa McMillan: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Highlights
McMillanWR · CAR @ GBUsually 16.2−0.5pts this week
Helps him
- +0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.45 touchdowns, above his usual 0.33.
- 26%targetsHe draws 26% of his team’s targets.
- 9.0per gameHe sees 9.0 targets a game.
- +6.4last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 6.4 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- −1.2ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 73.0 receiving yards, below his usual 85.2.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 5.5 catches, below his usual 6.0.
- 6th toughestper targetEdgeGB allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.73 pts, 6th toughest).
BrownWR · NE @ MIAUsually 6.4+5.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.49 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 48.5 receiving yards, above his usual 33.7.
- +1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 3.0.
Hurts him
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMcMillan: 15.7 (best)Brown: 12.3
TD pointsof the projectionMcMillan: 2.7Brown: 2.9 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekMcMillan: 0.45Brown: 0.49 (best)
Projected team pointsMcMillan: 22.0Brown: 25.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameMcMillan: 1.2 (best)Brown: 1.0
Role
Snap shareMcMillan: 82% (best)Brown: 70%
Usage worthptsMcMillan: 15.8 (best)Brown: 11.7
Target shareMcMillan: 26% (best)Brown: 22%
Targets / gameMcMillan: 9.0 (best)Brown: 6.7
Air yards shareMcMillan: 31%Brown: 36% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsMcMillan: AboveBrown: Below
WOPRMcMillan: 0.59 (best)Brown: 0.56
RZ target shareMcMillan: 23%Brown: 30% (best)
Catch rateMcMillan: 67% (best)Brown: 45%
SeparationMcMillan: 2.6 yds (best)Brown: 2.1 yds
YAC over expectedMcMillan: −0.6 (best)Brown: −1.1
Usage worth vs scoredMcMillan: Earned by usage 15.8Scored 16.2Brown: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 6.4
Vacated targets this weekMcMillan: 3.0Brown: 9.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareMcMillan: 33% (best)Brown: 17%
Range
FloorMcMillan: 8.8 (best)Brown: 6.8
CeilingMcMillan: 24.2 (best)Brown: 20.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMcMillan: 12%Brown: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)McMillan: 14%Brown: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterMcMillan: 18%Brown: 3 games
SteadinessMcMillan: Up & down±12.2 ptsBrown: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionMcMillan: B+ (best)2026, 7 gmBrown: D-2026, 6 gm
Game scriptMcMillan: Expected to trailBrown: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMcMillan: 1.9Brown: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelMcMillan: NeutralBrown: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedMcMillan: 9th (tough)Brown: 18th (average) (best)
Starting QBMcMillan: Young (Active)Brown: Maye (Active)
Opp defender outMcMillan: Franklin (OLB)Brown: None listed
WeatherMcMillan: No concernBrown: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassMcMillan: OpenBrown: Open
Rest / scheduleMcMillan: Short week (4d)Brown: 10 days rest
Opp paceMcMillan: 19th (average) (best)Brown: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameMcMillan: 2.1 (best)5th (tough)Brown: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedMcMillan: 65%23rd (soft)Brown: 72% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgMcMillan: 22.6 (best)Brown: 6.4
Last 5 avgMcMillan: 17.3 (best)Brown: 6.4
vs seasonMcMillan: +6.4 (Rising) (best)Brown: Rising
Yards per route runMcMillan: 2.42 (best)Brown: 1.46
Receiving aDOTMcMillan: 10.8Brown: 13.4
Target share trendMcMillan: CoolingBrown: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesMcMillan: 95% (best)Brown: 83%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMcMillan: WR10 (best)Brown: WR19
Yards linereceivingMcMillan: 73.0 (best)Brown: 48.5
Deciding on someone else?
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