Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

Pass TD

New comparison

Lean

Mayfield

QB · TB vs ATL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points16.2pts

First out

Rodgers

QB · PIT vs CLE

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points13.9pts

Lean

Bench

Aaron Rodgers or Baker Mayfield: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Baker Mayfield over Aaron Rodgers.

Ahead by: +2.3pts; over Rodgers
Confidence: Moderate; Lean
Started: 39%; of leagues

Flips if

If the weather in Baker Mayfield's game turns worse, start Aaron Rodgers.

Risk

Baker Mayfield has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games. Weather in Baker Mayfield's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 12:00 PM ET

MayfieldLeanQB · TB vs ATLUsually 10.4+5.7pts this week

Helps him

+3.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 0.75.
+1.9ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 216.5 passing yards, above his usual 169.8.

Hurts him

−0.5ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.17 rushing TDs, below his usual 0.25.
9th toughestper passEdgeATL allows plenty of QB chances because teams throw a lot against them; per pass they’re tough (0.48 pts, 9th toughest).
33%pressureEdgeThe ATL pass rush gets pressure on 33% of dropbacks.

RodgersFirst outQB · PIT vs CLEUsually 16.0−2.2pts this week

Helps him

41.0dropbacksHe drops back 41.0 times a game.

Hurts him

−1.4ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, below his usual 1.86.
−1.0ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 217.5 passing yards, below his usual 242.7.
20.0ceilingHe rarely runs, which caps his ceiling near 20.0 points.
CLEvs QBsEdgeCLE is the 10th toughest defense for quarterbacks.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection16.213.9

Rush TD pointsof the projection1.00.4

Rush TDs expectedthis week0.170.07

Projected team points23.321.5

Goal line carriesper game0.30.1

Red zone carriesper game1.50.1

Pass attempts / game26.837.6

Role

Snap share96%99%

Touch share7%4%

Touches / game3.01.7

Yards per attempt6.36.5

Pass TD rate3%5%

Rush yards / game16.53.3

Points from rushing30%2%

Rushing points / game3.2 pts / game0.3 pts / game

Rushing floor1.7 pts / game0.3 pts / game

Designed runs / game0.50.0

Scrambles / game2.30.6

Dropbacks / game32.341.0

Designed runs inside the 10 / game0.30.0

Sacks per dropback10%8%

INT rate1.9%1.9%

Pass aDOT8.27.4

High value touches / game0.50.0

Goal line carry share20%0%

Red zone touches / game1.50.0

Rush success rate73%100%

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)0%0%

Range

Floor13.811.1

Ceiling23.820.0

Points from TDssteadier when lower14%0%

Big weeks (25+ pts)0%0%

Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is better54%25%

SteadinessVery steady±4.8 ptsVery steady±6.4 pts

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmCC-

Game scriptExpected to leadExpected to lead

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.31.3

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed29th (soft)8th (tough)

Opp sacks / game2.42.9

Opp defender outNone listedDavis (DT)

WeatherOutdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainNo concern

Roof / surfacegrassOpenOpen

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace21st (average)22nd (slow)

Opp pressure rate33%3rd (tough)22%13th (average)

Pressure faced23%16%

Opp rush yds allowed4th (tough)20th (average)

Opp stuff rate20%8th (tough)22%5th (tough)

Opp yards per carry allowed4.010th (tough)4.522nd (soft)

Opp deep targets allowed / game5.029th (soft)5.731st (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed69%20th (average)64%5th (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg10.017.0

Last 5 avg10.419.1

vs season−0.4+1.0 (Steady)

Yards per carry5.51.9

Carries / game3.01.7

Pass volume trendSteadySteady

Games since injury1None recently

Crowd

Started in leagues39%37%

Nuvela position ranklower is betterQB14QB23

Yards linepassing216.5217.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?