New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

Pass TD

New comparison

Lean

Mahomes

QB · KC @ DEN

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET

Projected points15.8pts

First out

Rodgers

QB · PIT vs CLE

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points13.9pts

Lean

Bench

Aaron Rodgers or Patrick Mahomes: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Patrick Mahomes over Aaron Rodgers.

Ahead by: +1.9pts; over Rodgers
Confidence: Moderate; Lean
Started: 59%; of leagues

Flips if

Start Aaron Rodgers instead if you want more chances to throw (41.0 a game to 35.2).

Risk

The risk: Mahomes threw for 165 yards without a touchdown last week (6.0 points).

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

MahomesLeanQB · KC @ DENUsually 16.7−0.8pts this week

Helps him

OutEllissEdgeHe faces a Broncos defense without linebacker Jonah Elliss.

Hurts him

−0.9ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 223.5 passing yards, below his usual 245.7.
4th toughestper passEdgeDEN allows plenty of QB chances because teams throw a lot against them; per pass they’re tough (0.40 pts, 4th toughest).
23%pressureEdgeThe DEN pass rush gets pressure on 23% of dropbacks.

RodgersFirst outQB · PIT vs CLEUsually 16.0−2.2pts this week

Helps him

41.0dropbacksHe drops back 41.0 times a game.

Hurts him

−1.4ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, below his usual 1.86.
−1.0ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 217.5 passing yards, below his usual 242.7.
20.0ceilingHe rarely runs, which caps his ceiling near 20.0 points.
CLEvs QBsEdgeCLE is the 10th toughest defense for quarterbacks.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection15.813.9

Rush TD pointsof the projection0.90.4

Rush TDs expectedthis week0.150.07

Projected team points20.821.5

Goal line carriesper game0.00.1

Red zone carriesper game0.30.1

Pass attempts / game31.837.6

Role

Snap share100%99%

Touch share7%4%

Touches / game3.21.7

Yards per attempt7.76.5

Pass TD rate5%5%

Rush yards / game11.83.3

Points from rushing13%2%

Rushing points / game2.2 pts / game0.3 pts / game

Rushing floor1.7 pts / game0.3 pts / game

Designed runs / game0.20.0

Scrambles / game2.00.6

Dropbacks / game35.241.0

Designed runs inside the 10 / game0.00.0

Sacks per dropback3%8%

INT rate2.1%1.9%

Pass aDOT6.07.4

High value touches / game0.20.0

Goal line carry share0%0%

Red zone touches / game0.30.0

Rush success rate54%100%

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)0%0%

Range

Floor11.611.1

Ceiling23.820.0

Points from TDssteadier when lower6%0%

Big weeks (25+ pts)26%0%

Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is better28%25%

SteadinessVery steady±8.4 ptsVery steady±6.4 pts

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmC-C-

Game scriptExpected to leadExpected to lead

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.41.3

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed17th (average)8th (tough)

Opp sacks / game3.02.9

Opp defender outElliss (LB)None listed

Roof / surfacegrassOpenOpen

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace30th (slow)22nd (slow)

Opp pressure rate23%8th (tough)22%13th (average)

Pressure faced24%16%

Opp rush yds allowed28th (soft)20th (average)

Opp stuff rate18%14th (average)22%5th (tough)

Opp yards per carry allowed4.724th (soft)4.522nd (soft)

Opp deep targets allowed / game3.715th (average)5.731st (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed62%3rd (tough)64%5th (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg11.217.0

Last 5 avg15.719.1

vs season−5.5 (Cooling)+1.0 (Steady)

Yards per carry3.71.9

Carries / game3.21.7

Pass volume trendSteadySteady

Crowd

Started in leagues59%37%

Nuvela position ranklower is betterQB15QB23

Yards linepassing223.5217.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?