Jeanty
RB · LV @ NYJ
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.4pts
Barkley
RB · PHI @ WAS
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Hamstring
Projected points6.0ptsUsage estimate
13.2 if he plays · 46% to play
Start
Bench
Ashton Jeanty or Saquon Barkley: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Ashton Jeanty over Saquon Barkley.
- Ahead by
- +9.4pts
- over Barkley
- Confidence
- High
- Saquon Barkley may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 95%
- of leagues
Barkley's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
An injury tag on Ashton Jeanty or a bigger role for Saquon Barkley.
Risk
Saquon Barkley missed practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Saquon Barkley has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games. As of Fri 1:00 PM ET
Highlights
JeantyStartRB · LV @ NYJUsually 17.4−2.0pts this week
Helps him
- +0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.68 touchdowns, above his usual 0.57.
- 1.3inside the 5He averages 1.3 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.
- 6.3per gameHe adds 6.3 targets a game as a receiver.
- 23.7ceilingHis best weeks reach about 23.7 points.
Hurts him
- −1.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 28.5 receiving yards, below his usual 44.6.
- −1.4ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, below his usual 4.9.
- 6th toughestper carryEdgeNYJ allows plenty of RB chances because teams run on them a lot; per carry or target they’re tough (0.79 pts, 6th toughest).
BarkleyFirst outRB · PHI @ WASUsually 12.5−6.5pts this week
Helps him
- +5.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- +5.0ptsroleWith Pierce out, his expected role grows this week.
Hurts him
- −9.5ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 9.5 points off his projection.
- −3.5ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
- −3.2ptsrecent workHis work has dropped off in his last few games.
- −0.7ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJeanty: 15.4 (best)Barkley: 6.0
TD pointsof the projectionJeanty: 4.1Barkley: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekJeanty: 0.68Barkley: Our estimate
Projected team pointsJeanty: 22.0 (best)Barkley: 17.0
Goal line carriesper gameJeanty: 1.3 (best)Barkley: 0.4
Red zone carriesper gameJeanty: 3.0 (best)Barkley: 1.6
Red zone targetsper gameJeanty: 1.6 (best)Barkley: 0.0
Role
Snap shareJeanty: 70% (best)Barkley: 36%
Usage worthptsJeanty: 20.7 (best)Barkley: 7.6
Touch shareJeanty: 41% (best)Barkley: 22%
Target shareJeanty: 18% (best)Barkley: 7%
Touches / gameJeanty: 20.0 (best)Barkley: 9.8
Targets / gameJeanty: 6.3 (best)Barkley: 1.8
Air yards shareJeanty: 5%Barkley: Behind the line
Vacated touches this weekJeanty: 0.0Barkley: 29.6 (best)
High value touches / gameJeanty: 6.3 (best)Barkley: 2.0
Goal line carry shareJeanty: 82% (best)Barkley: 29%
Red zone touches / gameJeanty: 4.4 (best)Barkley: 1.6
Rush success rateJeanty: 31%Barkley: 42% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Jeanty: 0%Barkley: 4.7% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredJeanty: Earned by usage 20.7Scored 17.4Barkley: Earned by usage 7.6Scored 7.6
Rush yards / gameJeanty: 46.9Barkley: 48.8 (best)
Points from rushingJeanty: 32%Barkley: 80%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsJeanty: AboveBarkley: 0 RZ targets
WOPRJeanty: 0.30 (best)Barkley: 0.09
RZ target shareJeanty: 25% (best)Barkley: 0%
Inside 10 target shareJeanty: 0%Barkley: 0%
Catch rateJeanty: 77% (best)Barkley: 67%
Rushing points / gameJeanty: 5.5 pts / gameBarkley: 6.1 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorJeanty: 3.8 pts / game (best)Barkley: 3.3 pts / game
Range
FloorJeanty: 9.8 (best)Barkley: 0.0
CeilingJeanty: 23.7 (best)Barkley: 8.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJeanty: 20%Barkley: 16%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Jeanty: 26% (best)Barkley: 10%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterJeanty: 4% (best)Barkley: 14%
SteadinessJeanty: Very steady (best)±8.0 ptsBarkley: Steady±6.7 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionJeanty: B (best)2026, 7 gmBarkley: C2026, 6 gm
Game scriptJeanty: Expected to trail (best)Barkley: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJeanty: 1.1 (best)Barkley: 1.3
Defense funnelJeanty: NeutralBarkley: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedJeanty: 24th (soft) (best)Barkley: 14th (average)
Backfield roleJeanty: LeadBarkley: Lead
Opp defender outJeanty: None listedBarkley: Kinlaw (DT)
Roof / surfaceJeanty: OpenturfBarkley: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleJeanty: NormalBarkley: Normal
Opp paceJeanty: 28th (slow)Barkley: 12th (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateJeanty: 14% (best)27th (soft)Barkley: 18%17th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedJeanty: 4.1 (best)12th (average)Barkley: 3.88th (tough)
Opp pass yds allowedJeanty: 5th (tough)Barkley: 28th (soft) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameJeanty: 0.124th (soft)Barkley: 0.2 (best)31st (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedJeanty: 71%7th (tough)Barkley: 73% (best)10th (tough)
Starting QBJeanty: Cousins (Active)Barkley: McKee (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgJeanty: 16.0 (best)Barkley: 8.7
Last 5 avgJeanty: 15.8 (best)Barkley: 7.6
vs seasonJeanty: −1.4 (Steady)Barkley: +1.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryJeanty: 3.1Barkley: 5.7 (best)
Carries / gameJeanty: 15.1 (best)Barkley: 8.6
Yards per route runJeanty: 2.05 (best)Barkley: 0.65
Receiving aDOTJeanty: 2.2Barkley: −0.6
Touch share trendJeanty: RisingBarkley: Left 2 games hurt
Games since injuryJeanty: None recentlyBarkley: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesJeanty: 96% (best)Barkley: 65%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJeanty: RB13 (best)Barkley: RB38
Yards linerushingJeanty: 49.5Barkley: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.