New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison
Toss-up

Johnson

RB · BUF vs BAL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points5.9pts

First out

Barkley

RB · PHI @ WAS

Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Hamstring

Projected points6.0ptsUsage estimate

13.2 if he plays · 46% to play

Toss-up

Bench

Saquon Barkley or Ty Johnson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Ty Johnson gets the nod over Saquon Barkley.

Ahead by
Level
with Barkley
Confidence
Lower
Saquon Barkley may not play (about 46% to play)

Barkley's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

If Saquon Barkley gets a full practice in, he's the start.

Risk

Saquon Barkley missed practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Saquon Barkley has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
JohnsonToss-upRB · BUF vs BALUsually 7.0−1.1pts this week

Helps him

  1. +0.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.15 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
  2. 28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.

Hurts him

  1. −2.3ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 15.5 receiving yards, below his usual 38.8.
  2. −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.0.
  3. 7%touchesHe handles only 7% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
  4. BALvs RBsEdgeBAL is the 4th toughest defense for running backs.
BarkleyFirst outRB · PHI @ WASUsually 12.5−6.5pts this week

Helps him

  1. +5.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
  2. +5.0ptsroleWith Pierce out, his expected role grows this week.

Hurts him

  1. −9.5ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 9.5 points off his projection.
  2. −3.5ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
  3. −3.2ptsrecent workHis work has dropped off in his last few games.
  4. −0.7ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJohnson: 5.9Barkley: 6.0 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionJohnson: 0.9Barkley: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekJohnson: 0.15Barkley: Our estimate
Projected team pointsJohnson: 28.8 (best)Barkley: 17.0
Goal line carriesper gameJohnson: 0.0Barkley: 0.4 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameJohnson: 0.3Barkley: 1.6 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameJohnson: 0.3 (best)Barkley: 0.0
Role
Snap shareJohnson: 24%Barkley: 36% (best)
Usage worthptsJohnson: 4.7Barkley: 7.6 (best)
Touch shareJohnson: 7%Barkley: 22% (best)
Target shareJohnson: 13% (best)Barkley: 7%
Touches / gameJohnson: 3.5Barkley: 9.8 (best)
Targets / gameJohnson: 3.0 (best)Barkley: 1.8
Vacated touches this weekJohnson: 0.0Barkley: 29.6 (best)
High value touches / gameJohnson: 3.0 (best)Barkley: 2.0
Goal line carry shareJohnson: 0%Barkley: 29% (best)
Red zone touches / gameJohnson: 0.5Barkley: 1.6 (best)
Rush success rateJohnson: 0%Barkley: 42% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Johnson: 0%Barkley: 4.7% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredJohnson: Earned by usage 4.7Scored 7.0Barkley: Earned by usage 7.6Scored 7.6
Rush yards / gameJohnson: 1.5Barkley: 48.8 (best)
Points from rushingJohnson: 2%Barkley: 80%
WOPRJohnson: 0.18 (best)Barkley: 0.09
RZ target shareJohnson: 6% (best)Barkley: 0%
Inside 10 target shareJohnson: 0%Barkley: 0%
Catch rateJohnson: 100% (best)Barkley: 67%
Rushing points / gameJohnson: 0.2 pts / gameBarkley: 6.1 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorJohnson: 0.2 pts / gameBarkley: 3.3 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorJohnson: 3.2 (best)Barkley: 0.0
CeilingJohnson: 8.5Barkley: 8.8 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJohnson: 0%Barkley: 16%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Johnson: 0%Barkley: 10% (best)
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterJohnson: 83%Barkley: 14% (best)
SteadinessJohnson: Volatile±5.2 ptsBarkley: Steady (best)±6.7 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionJohnson: D+2026, 7 gmBarkley: C (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptJohnson: Expected to lead (best)Barkley: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJohnson: 0.9 (best)Barkley: 1.3
Defense funnelJohnson: PassBarkley: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedJohnson: 9th (tough)Barkley: 14th (average) (best)
Backfield roleJohnson: BackupBarkley: Lead
Opp defender outJohnson: Robinson (LB)Barkley: Kinlaw (DT)
Roof / surfaceJohnson: OpenturfBarkley: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleJohnson: Off a byeBarkley: Normal
Opp paceJohnson: 17th (average)Barkley: 12th (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateJohnson: 22%6th (tough)Barkley: 18% (best)17th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowed8th (tough)Johnson: 3.8Barkley: 3.8
Opp pass yds allowedJohnson: 15th (average)Barkley: 28th (soft) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameJohnson: 0.01st (tough)Barkley: 0.2 (best)31st (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedJohnson: 74% (best)13th (average)Barkley: 73%10th (tough)
Starting QBJohnson: Allen (Active)Barkley: McKee (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgJohnson: 6.4Barkley: 8.7 (best)
Last 5 avgJohnson: 7.0Barkley: 7.6 (best)
vs seasonJohnson: −0.7Barkley: +1.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryJohnson: 2 carriesBarkley: 5.7
Carries / gameJohnson: 0.5Barkley: 8.6 (best)
Yards per route runJohnson: 3.69 (best)Barkley: 0.65
Receiving aDOTJohnson: −0.6Barkley: −0.6
Touch share trendJohnson: SteadyBarkley: Left 2 games hurt
Games since injuryJohnson: None recentlyBarkley: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesJohnson: Not widely startedBarkley: 65%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJohnson: RB39Barkley: RB38 (best)
Yards linerushingJohnson: 9.8Barkley: Our estimate

Deciding on someone else?

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