Harvey
RB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Knee
Projected points7.7pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Ekeler
RB · WAS vs PHI
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points6.5ptsUsage estimate
Start · check inactives
Bench
Austin Ekeler or RJ Harvey: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start RJ Harvey. If he's inactive, start Austin Ekeler.
- Ahead by
- +1.2pts
- over Ekeler if he plays
- Confidence
- Depends on inactives
- RJ Harvey may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 53%
- of leagues
Ekeler's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
If RJ Harvey is inactive, start Austin Ekeler.
Risk
RJ Harvey was limited in practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start Austin Ekeler. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
HarveyStart · check inactivesRB · DEN vs KCUsually 11.2−3.6pts this week
Helps him
- OutNorman-LottEdgeHe faces a Chiefs defense without defensive tackle Omarr Norman-Lott.
- 14.0last weekHe ran for 6 yards, caught 2 for 54 and scored last week (14.0 points).
Hurts him
- −2.1pts3 linesRushing yards 7.5 (usual 14.5), catches 3.5 (usual 4.2) and touchdowns 0.21 (usual 0.33) all sit below his usual.
- −1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 21.5 receiving yards, below his usual 36.2.
- 19%touchesHe handles only 19% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 9th toughest defense for running backs.
EkelerIf he sitsRB · WAS vs PHIUsually 6.2+0.3pts this week
Helps him
- +4.1ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- −6.0spreadEdgeHis team is expected to lead, which tends to mean more carries late.
Hurts him
- −2.3ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
- −1.2ptsrecent workHis work has dropped off in his last few games.
- 9%touchesHe handles only 9% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- 2nd toughestper carryEdgePHI allows plenty of RB chances because teams run on them a lot; per carry or target they’re tough (0.72 pts, 2nd toughest).
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionHarvey: 7.7 (best)Ekeler: 6.5
TD pointsof the projectionHarvey: 1.3Ekeler: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekHarvey: 0.21Ekeler: Our estimate
Projected team pointsHarvey: 19.8Ekeler: 23.0 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameHarvey: 0.2 (best)Ekeler: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameHarvey: 0.2Ekeler: 0.7 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameHarvey: 0.7 (best)Ekeler: 0.3
Role
Snap shareHarvey: 39% (best)Ekeler: 16%
Usage worthptsHarvey: 9.6 (best)Ekeler: 4.0
Touch shareHarvey: 19% (best)Ekeler: 9%
Target shareHarvey: 16% (best)Ekeler: 5%
Touches / gameHarvey: 8.2 (best)Ekeler: 4.0
Targets / gameHarvey: 4.7 (best)Ekeler: 1.7
Vacated touches this weekHarvey: 2.6Ekeler: 14.8 (best)
High value touches / gameHarvey: 4.3 (best)Ekeler: 1.3
Goal line carry shareHarvey: 11% (best)Ekeler: 0%
Red zone touches / gameHarvey: 0.8Ekeler: 1.0 (best)
Rush success rateHarvey: 46% (best)Ekeler: 38%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Harvey: 0%Ekeler: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredHarvey: Earned by usage 9.6Scored 11.2Ekeler: Earned by usage 4.0Scored 3.4
Rush yards / gameHarvey: 14.5 (best)Ekeler: 10.3
Points from rushingHarvey: 22%Ekeler: 31%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsHarvey: In lineEkeler: 1 RZ target
WOPRHarvey: 0.16 (best)Ekeler: 0.07
RZ target shareHarvey: 19% (best)Ekeler: 14%
Inside 10 target shareHarvey: 13% (best)Ekeler: 0%
Catch rateHarvey: 89% (best)Ekeler: 80%
Rushing points / gameHarvey: 2.5 pts / game (best)Ekeler: 1.0 pts / game
Rushing floorHarvey: 1.9 pts / game (best)Ekeler: 1.0 pts / game
Range
FloorHarvey: 5.4 (best)Ekeler: 3.9
CeilingHarvey: 11.4 (best)Ekeler: 10.1
Points from TDssteadier when lowerHarvey: 18%Ekeler: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Harvey: 0%Ekeler: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterHarvey: 17%Ekeler: 3 games
SteadinessHarvey: Steady±6.4 pts · 6 gamesEkeler: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionHarvey: D+2026, 6 gmEkeler: C- (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptHarvey: Expected to trailEkeler: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterHarvey: 1.7Ekeler: 0.4 (best)
Defense funnelHarvey: NeutralEkeler: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedHarvey: 13th (average)Ekeler: 27th (soft) (best)
Backfield roleHarvey: BackupEkeler: Backup
Opp defender outHarvey: Norman-Lott (DT)Ekeler: None listed
Roof / surfacegrassHarvey: OpenEkeler: Open
Rest / scheduleHarvey: NormalEkeler: Off a bye
Opp paceHarvey: 24th (slow) (best)Ekeler: 27th (slow)
Opp stuff rateHarvey: 21%9th (tough)Ekeler: 16% (best)22nd (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedHarvey: 3.42nd (tough)Ekeler: 4.3 (best)21st (average)
Opp pass yds allowedHarvey: 12th (average)Ekeler: 24th (soft) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Harvey: 0.0Ekeler: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedHarvey: 79% (best)17th (average)Ekeler: 72%9th (tough)
Starting QBHarvey: Nix (Active)Ekeler: Daniels (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgHarvey: 9.8 (best)Ekeler: 3.4
Last 5 avgHarvey: 11.9 (best)Ekeler: 3.4
vs seasonHarvey: −1.5 (Cooling)Ekeler: Cooling (best)
Yards per carryHarvey: 3.6Ekeler: 3.9 (best)
Carries / gameHarvey: 4.0 (best)Ekeler: 2.7
Yards per route runHarvey: 2.89 (best)Ekeler: 2.31
Receiving aDOTHarvey: −2.8Ekeler: −2.4
Touch share trendHarvey: SteadyEkeler: Left 2 games hurt
Crowd
Started in leaguesHarvey: 53%Ekeler: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterHarvey: RB32 (best)Ekeler: RB35
Yards linerushingHarvey: 7.5Ekeler: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
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