Tremble
TE · CAR vs DET
Proj pts
5.8pts
market
Hooper
TE · ATL vs NO
Proj pts
5.3pts
market
Austin Hooper or Tommy Tremble: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Tommy Tremble over Austin Hooper by 0.5. Tommy Tremble leads at 5.8. Austin Hooper is the first one out, 0.5 short.
Highlights
Cons
- Low TE usage9% target share
- Thin volume2.5 targets/g
Cons
- Low TE usage7% target share
- Thin volume2.0 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is bust rate: Tremble 47%, Hooper 23%.
Why Tommy Tremble
Start Tommy Tremble — projects 5.8, an even matchup vs DET.
Tommy Tremble projects 5.8 points on a 1.6–7.0 range. The matchup grades as neutral against DET. Usage: targets / game at 2.5. Net: start Tommy Tremble this week.
Working against Tremble: Low TE usage (9% target share), Thin volume (2.5 targets/g).
Where Tremble leads the head-to-head: Projection (5.8 vs 5.3); Target share (9% vs 7%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B- vs C); Implied team total (23.5 vs 22.5); Boom rate (20% vs 15%); Targets / game (2.5 vs 2.0); Snap share (60% vs 52%).
Why Austin Hooper
Sit Austin Hooper — projects 5.3, an even matchup vs NO.
Austin Hooper projects 5.3 points on a 3.2–7.5 range. The matchup grades as neutral against NO. Usage: targets / game at 2.0. Net: bench Austin Hooper this week.
Working against Hooper: Low TE usage (7% target share), Thin volume (2.0 targets/g).
Where Hooper leads the head-to-head: Floor (3.2 vs 1.6); Ceiling (7.5 vs 7.0); Last 3 avg (6.5 vs 4.7); Last 5 avg (6.5 vs 4.7); vs season (+1.2 vs +0.4); Consistency (41% vs 0%); Bust rate (23% vs 47%); Touchdown dependence (20% vs 18%).
Recent form
Tommy Tremble's last 3 games: PPR points 1.4, 5.5, 7.1 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Austin Hooper's last 2 games: PPR points 4, 9.1 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Tremble has already beaten Hooper's 5.3 projection in 2 of his 3; Hooper has beaten Tremble's 5.8 in 1 of his 2.
Matchup
Tommy Tremble (CAR) faces DET, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread +3.5.
Austin Hooper (ATL) faces NO, kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +2.5.
What flips it
Tremble's edge is 0.5 points (5.8 to 5.3). Hooper's ceiling (7.5) clears Tremble's projection, so a big game from Hooper flips it. Tremble's floor (1.6) sits under Hooper's projection, so a quiet game from Tremble flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Brenton Strange or Colston Loveland11.5 · 11.4
- Mark Andrews or Tucker Kraft12.9 · 13.0
- Dalton Schultz or Kenyon Sadiq13.6 · 13.5
- Sam LaPorta or Travis Kelce14.9 · 15.1
- Harold Fannin Jr. or Tucker Kraft13.2 · 13.0
- AJ Barner or Hunter Henry11.0 · 11.2
- More TE start/sit calls (tight ends this week)