Mayfield
QB · TB vs ATL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points16.2pts
Willis
QB · MIA vs NE
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points13.7pts
Lean
Bench
Baker Mayfield or Malik Willis: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Baker Mayfield over Malik Willis.
- Ahead by
- +2.5pts
- over Willis
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 39%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Malik Willis instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (17% of his games to 0%).
Risk
Baker Mayfield has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games. Weather in Baker Mayfield's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. Weather in Malik Willis's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
MayfieldLeanQB · TB vs ATLUsually 10.4+5.7pts this week
Helps him
- +3.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 0.75.
- +1.9ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 216.5 passing yards, above his usual 169.8.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.17 rushing TDs, below his usual 0.25.
- 9th toughestper passEdgeATL allows plenty of QB chances because teams throw a lot against them; per pass they’re tough (0.48 pts, 9th toughest).
- 33%pressureEdgeThe ATL pass rush gets pressure on 33% of dropbacks.
WillisFirst outQB · MIA vs NEUsually 14.4−0.8pts this week
Helps him
- 4.2ptsrushingHis running adds 4.2 points a game, a floor that needs no touchdown pass.
Hurts him
- −1.6pts2 linesRushing TDs 0.35 (usual 0.50) and passing TDs 0.50 (usual 0.67) both sit below his usual.
- NEvs QBsEdgeNE is the 4th toughest defense for quarterbacks.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMayfield: 16.2 (best)Willis: 13.7
Rush TD pointsof the projectionMayfield: 1.0Willis: 2.1 (best)
Rush TDs expectedthis weekMayfield: 0.17Willis: 0.35 (best)
Projected team pointsMayfield: 23.3 (best)Willis: 18.0
Goal line carriesper gameMayfield: 0.3Willis: 0.5 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameMayfield: 1.5 (best)Willis: 0.8
Pass attempts / gameMayfield: 26.8 (best)Willis: 25.2
Role
Snap shareMayfield: 96%Willis: 100% (best)
Touch shareMayfield: 7%Willis: 14% (best)
Touches / gameMayfield: 3.0Willis: 5.8 (best)
Yards per attemptMayfield: 6.3Willis: 7.0 (best)
Pass TD rateMayfield: 3%Willis: 3%
Rush yards / gameMayfield: 16.5Willis: 37.2 (best)
Points from rushingMayfield: 30%Willis: 47%
Rushing points / gameMayfield: 3.2 pts / gameWillis: 6.7 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorMayfield: 1.7 pts / gameWillis: 4.2 pts / game (best)
Designed runs / gameMayfield: 0.5Willis: 1.8 (best)
Scrambles / gameMayfield: 2.3Willis: 3.7 (best)
Dropbacks / gameMayfield: 32.3 (best)Willis: 31.5
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameMayfield: 0.3Willis: 0.3
Sacks per dropbackMayfield: 10%Willis: 8% (best)
INT rateMayfield: 1.9% (best)Willis: 2.6%
Pass aDOTMayfield: 8.2Willis: 9.6
High value touches / gameMayfield: 0.5Willis: 0.5
Goal line carry shareMayfield: 20%Willis: 21% (best)
Red zone touches / gameMayfield: 1.5 (best)Willis: 0.8
Rush success rateMayfield: 73% (best)Willis: 64%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Mayfield: 0%Willis: 3.0% (best)
Range
FloorMayfield: 13.8 (best)Willis: 10.4
CeilingMayfield: 23.8 (best)Willis: 18.9
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMayfield: 14%Willis: 21%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Mayfield: 0%Willis: 17% (best)
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterMayfield: 54%Willis: 33% (best)
SteadinessMayfield: Very steady (best)±4.8 ptsWillis: Steady±8.1 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmMayfield: C (best)Willis: D+
Game scriptMayfield: Expected to lead (best)Willis: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMayfield: 1.3Willis: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelMayfield: NeutralWillis: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedMayfield: 29th (soft) (best)Willis: 19th (average)
Opp sacks / gameMayfield: 2.4Willis: 2.4
WeatherMayfield: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainWillis: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassMayfield: OpenWillis: Open
Rest / scheduleMayfield: NormalWillis: Normal
Opp paceMayfield: 21st (average)Willis: 16th (average) (best)
Opp pressure rateMayfield: 33%3rd (tough)Willis: 20% (best)17th (average)
Pressure facedMayfield: 23%Willis: 22% (best)
Opp rush yds allowedMayfield: 4th (tough)Willis: 8th (tough) (best)
Opp stuff rateMayfield: 20%8th (tough)Willis: 14% (best)24th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowed10th (tough)Mayfield: 4.0Willis: 4.0
Opp deep targets allowed / gameMayfield: 5.0 (best)29th (soft)Willis: 2.97th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedMayfield: 69%20th (average)Willis: 70% (best)27th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgMayfield: 10.0Willis: 15.8 (best)
Last 5 avgMayfield: 10.4Willis: 14.0 (best)
vs seasonMayfield: −0.4Willis: +1.4 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryMayfield: 5.5Willis: 6.4 (best)
Carries / gameMayfield: 3.0Willis: 5.8 (best)
Pass volume trendMayfield: SteadyWillis: Steady
Games since injuryMayfield: 1Willis: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesMayfield: 39%Willis: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMayfield: QB14 (best)Willis: QB24
Yards linepassingMayfield: 216.5 (best)Willis: 183.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.