Mahomes
QB · KC @ DEN
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points15.8pts
Willis
QB · MIA vs NE
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points13.7pts
Lean
Bench
Malik Willis or Patrick Mahomes: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Patrick Mahomes over Malik Willis.
- Ahead by
- +2.1pts
- over Willis
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 59%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Malik Willis instead if you want more points with his legs (4.2 a game to 1.7).
Risk
Weather in Malik Willis's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
MahomesLeanQB · KC @ DENUsually 16.7−0.8pts this week
Helps him
- OutEllissEdgeHe faces a Broncos defense without linebacker Jonah Elliss.
Hurts him
- −0.9ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 223.5 passing yards, below his usual 245.7.
- 4th toughestper passEdgeDEN allows plenty of QB chances because teams throw a lot against them; per pass they’re tough (0.40 pts, 4th toughest).
- 23%pressureEdgeThe DEN pass rush gets pressure on 23% of dropbacks.
WillisFirst outQB · MIA vs NEUsually 14.4−0.8pts this week
Helps him
- 4.2ptsrushingHis running adds 4.2 points a game, a floor that needs no touchdown pass.
Hurts him
- −1.6pts2 linesRushing TDs 0.35 (usual 0.50) and passing TDs 0.50 (usual 0.67) both sit below his usual.
- NEvs QBsEdgeNE is the 4th toughest defense for quarterbacks.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMahomes: 15.8 (best)Willis: 13.7
Rush TD pointsof the projectionMahomes: 0.9Willis: 2.1 (best)
Rush TDs expectedthis weekMahomes: 0.15Willis: 0.35 (best)
Projected team pointsMahomes: 20.8 (best)Willis: 18.0
Goal line carriesper gameMahomes: 0.0Willis: 0.5 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameMahomes: 0.3Willis: 0.8 (best)
Pass attempts / gameMahomes: 31.8 (best)Willis: 25.2
Role
Snap shareMahomes: 100%Willis: 100%
Touch shareMahomes: 7%Willis: 14% (best)
Touches / gameMahomes: 3.2Willis: 5.8 (best)
Yards per attemptMahomes: 7.7 (best)Willis: 7.0
Pass TD rateMahomes: 5% (best)Willis: 3%
Rush yards / gameMahomes: 11.8Willis: 37.2 (best)
Points from rushingMahomes: 13%Willis: 47%
Rushing points / gameMahomes: 2.2 pts / gameWillis: 6.7 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorMahomes: 1.7 pts / gameWillis: 4.2 pts / game (best)
Designed runs / gameMahomes: 0.2Willis: 1.8 (best)
Scrambles / gameMahomes: 2.0Willis: 3.7 (best)
Dropbacks / gameMahomes: 35.2 (best)Willis: 31.5
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameMahomes: 0.0Willis: 0.3 (best)
Sacks per dropbackMahomes: 3% (best)Willis: 8%
INT rateMahomes: 2.1% (best)Willis: 2.6%
Pass aDOTMahomes: 6.0Willis: 9.6
High value touches / gameMahomes: 0.2Willis: 0.5 (best)
Goal line carry shareMahomes: 0%Willis: 21% (best)
Red zone touches / gameMahomes: 0.3Willis: 0.8 (best)
Rush success rateMahomes: 54%Willis: 64% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Mahomes: 0%Willis: 3.0% (best)
Range
FloorMahomes: 11.6 (best)Willis: 10.4
CeilingMahomes: 23.8 (best)Willis: 18.9
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMahomes: 6%Willis: 21%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Mahomes: 26% (best)Willis: 17%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterMahomes: 28% (best)Willis: 33%
SteadinessMahomes: Very steady (best)±8.4 ptsWillis: Steady±8.1 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmMahomes: C- (best)Willis: D+
Game scriptMahomes: Expected to lead (best)Willis: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMahomes: 1.4Willis: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelMahomes: NeutralWillis: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedMahomes: 17th (average)Willis: 19th (average) (best)
Opp sacks / gameMahomes: 3.0Willis: 2.4 (best)
Opp defender outMahomes: Elliss (LB)Willis: None listed
WeatherMahomes: No concernWillis: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassMahomes: OpenWillis: Open
Rest / scheduleMahomes: NormalWillis: Normal
Opp paceMahomes: 30th (slow)Willis: 16th (average) (best)
Opp pressure rateMahomes: 23%8th (tough)Willis: 20% (best)17th (average)
Pressure facedMahomes: 24%Willis: 22% (best)
Opp rush yds allowedMahomes: 28th (soft) (best)Willis: 8th (tough)
Opp stuff rateMahomes: 18%14th (average)Willis: 14% (best)24th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedMahomes: 4.7 (best)24th (soft)Willis: 4.010th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameMahomes: 3.7 (best)15th (average)Willis: 2.97th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedMahomes: 62%3rd (tough)Willis: 70% (best)27th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgMahomes: 11.2Willis: 15.8 (best)
Last 5 avgMahomes: 15.7 (best)Willis: 14.0
vs seasonMahomes: −5.5 (Cooling)Willis: +1.4 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryMahomes: 3.7Willis: 6.4 (best)
Carries / gameMahomes: 3.2Willis: 5.8 (best)
Pass volume trendMahomes: SteadyWillis: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesMahomes: 59%Willis: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMahomes: QB15 (best)Willis: QB24
Yards linepassingMahomes: 223.5 (best)Willis: 183.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.