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Week7 · 2026
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Scoring
Pass TD
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Mayfield

QB · TB vs CAR

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Full · Thumb

Projected points15.9pts

Lawrence

QB · BYE

Bye

Projected points—

Baker Mayfield or Trevor Lawrence: who should I start in Week 7?

Start Baker Mayfield.

Highlights

Injuries as of Tue 12:10 PM ET

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 0.67.+3.3 pts
    • Helps him: His lines put him at 216.5 passing yards, above his usual 205.0.+0.5 pts
    • Hurts him: His lines put him at 0.17 rushing TDs, below his usual 0.33.−1.0 pts
    • Hurts him: His lines put him at 16.5 rushing yards, below his usual 21.7.−0.5 pts
    • Everything else+1.9 pts

    Usually scores 11.7 → projected 15.9+4.2 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • He drops back 39.3 times a game.
    • A quiet week could drop to about 12.8 points.
    • 46% of his games have been dud weeks.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMayfield: 15.9Lawrence: On bye
TD pointsof the projectionMayfield: 1.0Lawrence: On bye
Expected TDsthis weekMayfield: 0.17Lawrence: On bye
Projected team pointsMayfield: 20.8Lawrence: On bye
Goal line carriesper gameMayfield: 0.0Lawrence: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameMayfield: 1.7 (best)Lawrence: 0.3
Pass attempts / gameMayfield: 32.0 (best)Lawrence: 30.7
Role
Snap shareMayfield: 98% (best)Lawrence: 97%
Touch shareMayfield: 9% (best)Lawrence: 6%
Touches / gameMayfield: 3.7 (best)Lawrence: 2.8
Yards per attemptMayfield: 6.4Lawrence: 8.0 (best)
Pass TD rateMayfield: 2%Lawrence: 8% (best)
Rush yards / gameMayfield: 21.7 (best)Lawrence: 11.7
Points from rushingMayfield: 36%Lawrence: 6%
Rushing points / gameMayfield: 4.2 pts / game (best)Lawrence: 1.2 pts / game
Rushing floorMayfield: 3.2 pts / game (best)Lawrence: 1.0 pts / game
Designed runs / gameMayfield: 0.3Lawrence: 1.2 (best)
Scrambles / gameMayfield: 3.0 (best)Lawrence: 1.2
Dropbacks / gameMayfield: 39.3 (best)Lawrence: 33.5
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameMayfield: 0.0Lawrence: 0.0
Sacks per dropbackMayfield: 11%Lawrence: 5% (best)
INT rateMayfield: 2.1% (best)Lawrence: 2.2%
Pass aDOTMayfield: 8.9Lawrence: 8.2
High value touches / gameMayfield: 0.3 (best)Lawrence: 0.0
Goal line carry shareMayfield: Team had noneLawrence: 0%
Red zone touches / gameMayfield: 1.7 (best)Lawrence: 0.3
Rush success rateMayfield: 80% (best)Lawrence: 50%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Mayfield: 0%Lawrence: 0%
Range
FloorMayfield: 12.8Lawrence: On bye
CeilingMayfield: 22.2Lawrence: On bye
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMayfield: 17%Lawrence: 0%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Mayfield: 4%Lawrence: 28% (best)
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterMayfield: 46%Lawrence: 14% (best)
SteadinessMayfield: Very steady (best)±5.3 ptsLawrence: Very steady±8.6 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionMayfield: B-2026, 5 gmLawrence: On bye
Game scriptMayfield: Expected to trailLawrence: On bye
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMayfield: 1.4Lawrence: On bye
Defense funnelMayfield: NeutralLawrence: On bye
Opp pass yds allowedMayfield: 18th (average)Lawrence: On bye
Opp sacks / gameMayfield: 2.0Lawrence: On bye
Opp defender outMayfield: Phillips (LB)Lawrence: On bye
Roof / surfaceMayfield: OpengrassLawrence: On bye
Rest / scheduleMayfield: NormalLawrence: On bye
Opp paceMayfield: 2nd (fast)Lawrence: On bye
Opp pressure rateMayfield: 20%19th (average)Lawrence: On bye
Pressure facedMayfield: 25%Lawrence: 20% (best)
Opp rush yds allowedMayfield: 27th (soft)Lawrence: On bye
Opp stuff rateMayfield: 13%31st (soft)Lawrence: On bye
Opp yards per carry allowedMayfield: 5.229th (soft)Lawrence: On bye
Opp deep targets allowed / gameMayfield: 3.210th (tough)Lawrence: On bye
Opp catch rate allowedMayfield: 63%4th (tough)Lawrence: On bye
Form
Last 3 avgMayfield: 11.7Lawrence: 20.7 (best)
Last 5 avgMayfield: 11.7Lawrence: 17.6 (best)
vs seasonMayfield: SteadyLawrence: +1.7 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryMayfield: 5.9 (best)Lawrence: 4.1
Carries / gameMayfield: 3.7 (best)Lawrence: 2.8
Pass volume trendMayfield: RisingLawrence: Steady
Games since injuryMayfield: 0Lawrence: None recently
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMayfield: QB15Lawrence: On bye
Yards linepassingMayfield: 216.5Lawrence: On bye

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