nuvela.ai
Sit or start?
New
Week7 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
Pass TD
New comparison
Start

Nix

QB · DEN vs ARI

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points16.0pts

Lawrence

QB · BYE

Bye

Projected points—

Bo Nix or Trevor Lawrence: who should I start in Week 7?

Start Bo Nix.

Highlights

Injuries as of Tue 12:10 PM ET

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 1.00.+2.0 pts
    • Helps him: His lines put him at 219.5 passing yards, above his usual 174.8.+1.8 pts
    • Everything else+0.6 pts

    Usually scores 11.6 → projected 16.0+4.4 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • EdgeARI is the 4th softest defense for quarterbacks.
    • His best weeks reach about 25.7 points.
    • A quiet week could drop to about 10.5 points.
    • 38% of his games have been dud weeks.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionNix: 16.0Lawrence: On bye
TD pointsof the projectionNix: 1.3Lawrence: On bye
Expected TDsthis weekNix: 0.22Lawrence: On bye
Projected team pointsNix: 24.0Lawrence: On bye
Goal line carriesper gameNix: 0.5 (best)Lawrence: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameNix: 0.8 (best)Lawrence: 0.3
Pass attempts / gameNix: 31.5 (best)Lawrence: 30.7
Role
Snap shareNix: 100% (best)Lawrence: 97%
Touch shareNix: 8% (best)Lawrence: 6%
Touches / gameNix: 3.7 (best)Lawrence: 2.8
Yards per attemptNix: 5.6Lawrence: 8.0 (best)
Pass TD rateNix: 3%Lawrence: 8% (best)
Rush yards / gameNix: 6.2Lawrence: 11.7 (best)
Points from rushingNix: 14%Lawrence: 6%
Rushing points / gameNix: 1.6 pts / game (best)Lawrence: 1.2 pts / game
Rushing floorNix: 1.4 pts / game (best)Lawrence: 1.0 pts / game
Designed runs / gameNix: 2.0 (best)Lawrence: 1.2
Scrambles / gameNix: 0.8Lawrence: 1.2 (best)
Dropbacks / gameNix: 34.0 (best)Lawrence: 33.5
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameNix: 0.7 (best)Lawrence: 0.0
Sacks per dropbackNix: 4% (best)Lawrence: 5%
INT rateNix: 1.6% (best)Lawrence: 2.2%
Pass aDOTNix: 4.9Lawrence: 8.2
High value touches / gameNix: 0.7 (best)Lawrence: 0.0
Goal line carry shareNix: 25% (best)Lawrence: 0%
Red zone touches / gameNix: 0.8 (best)Lawrence: 0.3
Rush success rateNix: 41%Lawrence: 50% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Nix: 0%Lawrence: 0%
Range
FloorNix: 10.5Lawrence: On bye
CeilingNix: 25.7Lawrence: On bye
Points from TDssteadier when lowerNix: 9%Lawrence: 0%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Nix: 4%Lawrence: 28% (best)
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterNix: 38%Lawrence: 14% (best)
SteadinessNix: Steady±7.3 ptsLawrence: Very steady (best)±8.6 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionNix: A-2026, 6 gmLawrence: On bye
Game scriptNix: Expected to leadLawrence: On bye
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterNix: 1.3Lawrence: On bye
Defense funnelNix: PassLawrence: On bye
Opp pass yds allowedNix: 23rd (soft)Lawrence: On bye
Opp sacks / gameNix: 2.2Lawrence: On bye
Opp defender outNix: Nolen (DT)Lawrence: On bye
Roof / surfaceNix: Retractable roofgrassLawrence: On bye
Rest / scheduleNix: 10 days restLawrence: On bye
Opp paceNix: 5th (fast)Lawrence: On bye
Opp pressure rateNix: 19%23rd (soft)Lawrence: On bye
Pressure facedNix: 23%Lawrence: 20% (best)
Opp rush yds allowedNix: 20th (average)Lawrence: On bye
Opp stuff rateNix: 17%17th (average)Lawrence: On bye
Opp yards per carry allowedNix: 4.419th (average)Lawrence: On bye
Opp deep targets allowed / gameNix: 3.514th (average)Lawrence: On bye
Opp catch rate allowedNix: 67%14th (average)Lawrence: On bye
Form
Last 3 avgNix: 8.7Lawrence: 20.7 (best)
Last 5 avgNix: 12.8Lawrence: 17.6 (best)
vs seasonNix: −3.0 (Cooling)Lawrence: +1.7 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryNix: 1.7Lawrence: 4.1 (best)
Carries / gameNix: 3.7 (best)Lawrence: 2.8
Pass volume trendNix: SteadyLawrence: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesNix: 45%Lawrence: On bye
Nuvela position ranklower is betterNix: QB14Lawrence: On bye
Yards linepassingNix: 219.5Lawrence: On bye

Deciding on someone else?

Pick 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?