Start Trevor Lawrence. Bench Bo Nix. Trevor Lawrence leads at 18.2. Bo Nix is the first one out, 0.9 short.

Crowd: started Lawrence 69% · Nix 61%

Nuvela’s read

Trevor Lawrence projects 18.2 points on a 18.2–28.4 range. The matchup grades as tough against CLE. Usage: pass attempts / game at 32.9. Net: Trevor Lawrence is start this week.

Bo Nix projects 17.2 points on a 14.4–22.3 range. The matchup grades as neutral against KC. Usage: pass attempts / game at 36.0. Net: Bo Nix is a bench this week.

What flips it: Sit Bo Nix — projects 17.2, an even matchup vs KC, but the role is cooling.

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Week 1 hasn’t kicked off — recent form, opportunity and matchup are based on the 2025 season, and update as the season is played.

	LawrenceStart	NixBen
Projection (median)	18.2	17.2
Floor	18.2	14.4
Ceiling	28.4	22.3
Pass attempts	32.9	36.0
Matchup grade (recency weighted)	D	C-
Implied team total	24.0	19.8

History

Recents

Start Trevor Lawrence. Bench Bo Nix. Trevor Lawrence leads at 18.2. Bo Nix is the first one out, 0.9 short.

Start Trevor Lawrence. Bench Bo Nix. Trevor Lawrence leads at 18.2. Bo Nix is the first one out, 0.9 short.