New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison

Knight

RB · ARI @ DAL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points7.8ptsUsage estimate

Lloyd

RB · GB vs CAR

FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR

Final points2.6pts

projected 5.0

Bam Knight or MarShawn Lloyd: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

MarShawn Lloyd already played (2.6 pts, final). If he's in your lineup, those points are banked; if not, he can't help you this week. Compare Bam Knight with your other options.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
KnightRB · ARI @ DALUsually 3.5+4.4pts this week

Helps him

  1. +3.1ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
  2. +0.8ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
  3. +0.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.

Hurts him

  1. +7.0spreadEdgeThe Cardinals are expected to trail.
LloydRB · GB vs CARUsually 7.0−2.0pts this week

Helps him

  1. CARvs RBsEdgeCAR is the 5th softest defense for running backs.
  2. +0.7last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 0.7 points above his season average.

Hurts him

  1. −1.3ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.21 touchdowns, below his usual 0.43.
  2. −0.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 4.5 receiving yards, below his usual 10.0.
  3. 22%touchesHe handles only 22% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
  4. 2.9floorA quiet week could drop to about 2.9 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionKnight: 7.8 (best)Lloyd: 5.0
TD pointsof the projectionKnight: Our estimateLloyd: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekKnight: Our estimateLloyd: 0.21
Projected team pointsKnight: 23.8Lloyd: 25.5 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameKnight: 0.3Lloyd: 0.4 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameKnight: 1.0Lloyd: 1.9 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameKnight: 0.1Lloyd: 0.4 (best)
Role
Snap shareKnight: 16%Lloyd: 38% (best)
Usage worthptsKnight: 4.1Lloyd: 8.6 (best)
Touch shareKnight: 8%Lloyd: 22% (best)
Target shareKnight: 2%Lloyd: 7% (best)
Touches / gameKnight: 4.3Lloyd: 9.4 (best)
Targets / gameKnight: 1.0Lloyd: 2.3 (best)
Air yards shareKnight: 1%Lloyd: Behind the line
Vacated touches this weekKnight: 0.0Lloyd: 10.2 (best)
High value touches / gameKnight: 1.4Lloyd: 2.7 (best)
Goal line carry shareKnight: 25%Lloyd: 33% (best)
Red zone touches / gameKnight: 1.1Lloyd: 2.3 (best)
Rush success rateKnight: 36% (best)Lloyd: 31%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Knight: 8.0% (best)Lloyd: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredKnight: Earned by usage 4.1Scored 3.5Lloyd: Earned by usage 8.6Scored 7.0
Rush yards / gameKnight: 22.9 (best)Lloyd: 20.3
Points from rushingKnight: 66%Lloyd: 53%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsKnight: 1 RZ targetLloyd: Above
WOPRKnight: 0.04Lloyd: 0.09 (best)
RZ target shareKnight: 2%Lloyd: 8% (best)
Inside 10 target shareKnight: 0%Lloyd: 11% (best)
Catch rateKnight: 71%Lloyd: 75% (best)
Rushing points / gameKnight: 2.3 pts / gameLloyd: 3.7 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorKnight: 0.8 pts / gameLloyd: 2.8 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorKnight: 5.6 (best)Lloyd: 2.9
CeilingKnight: 11.2 (best)Lloyd: 7.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerKnight: 0%Lloyd: 37%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Knight: 0%Lloyd: 0%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterKnight: 25% (best)Lloyd: 50%
SteadinessKnight: Very steady (best)±3.8 ptsLloyd: Up & down±5.5 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionKnight: A+ (best)2026, 7 gmLloyd: A2026, 6 gm
Game scriptKnight: Expected to trailLloyd: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterKnight: 0.6 (best)Lloyd: 1.2
Defense funnelKnight: NeutralLloyd: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedKnight: 31st (soft)Lloyd: 32nd (soft) (best)
Backfield roleKnight: CommitteeLloyd: Committee
Opp defender outKnight: Bullard (DE)Lloyd: Phillips (LB)
Roof / surfaceKnight: Retractable roofturfLloyd: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleKnight: NormalLloyd: Short week (4d)
Opp paceKnight: 9th (fast)Lloyd: 6th (fast) (best)
Opp stuff rateKnight: 16%24th (soft)Lloyd: 12% (best)30th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedKnight: 4.425th (soft)Lloyd: 5.2 (best)31st (soft)
Opp pass yds allowedKnight: 15th (average) (best)Lloyd: 6th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Knight: 0.0Lloyd: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedKnight: 80% (best)18th (average)Lloyd: 74%11th (average)
Starting QBKnight: Brissett (Active)Lloyd: Love (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgKnight: 7.3Lloyd: 7.7 (best)
Last 5 avgKnight: 4.4Lloyd: 7.4 (best)
vs seasonKnight: +3.8 (Rising) (best)Lloyd: +0.7 (Rising)
Yards per carryKnight: 6.4 (best)Lloyd: 2.6
Carries / gameKnight: 3.6Lloyd: 7.7 (best)
Yards per route runKnight: 1.00Lloyd: 1.00
Receiving aDOTKnight: 2.7Lloyd: −0.7
Touch share trendKnight: SteadyLloyd: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterKnight: RB30 (best)Lloyd: RB48
Yards linerushingKnight: Our estimateLloyd: 16.5

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