Tuten
RB · JAX vs IND
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.1pts
Wilson
RB · SEA vs CHI
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points11.6ptsUsage estimate
Lean
Bench
Bhayshul Tuten or Emanuel Wilson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Bhayshul Tuten over Emanuel Wilson.
- Ahead by
- +3.5pts
- over Wilson
- Confidence
- Moderate
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 90%
- of leagues
Wilson's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
Start Emanuel Wilson instead if you want more of the goal line work (50% of the carries inside the 5 to 43%).
Risk
The risk: Wilson ran for 100 yards, caught 1 for 15 and scored last week (18.5 points).
Highlights
TutenLeanRB · JAX vs INDUsually 14.7+0.4pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.76 touchdowns, above his usual 0.67.
- 28.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.3 points, a high scoring spot.
- 21.7ceilingHis best weeks reach about 21.7 points.
Hurts him
- −0.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 15.0 receiving yards, below his usual 21.0.
WilsonFirst outRB · SEA vs CHIUsually 12.4−0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.5ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- 1.0inside the 5He averages 1.0 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- −1.0ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
- 3rd softestper carryEdgeCHI allows few RB chances because teams throw on them; per carry or target they’re soft (0.85 pts, 3rd softest).
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionTuten: 15.1 (best)Wilson: 11.6
TD pointsof the projectionTuten: 4.6Wilson: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekTuten: 0.76Wilson: Our estimate
Projected team pointsTuten: 28.3 (best)Wilson: 24.8
Goal line carriesper gameTuten: 0.5Wilson: 1.0 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameTuten: 2.7 (best)Wilson: 2.4
Red zone targetsper gameTuten: 0.5 (best)Wilson: 0.1
Role
Snap shareTuten: 56% (best)Wilson: 40%
Usage worthptsTuten: 12.5 (best)Wilson: 11.9
Touch shareTuten: 37% (best)Wilson: 33%
Target shareTuten: 8% (best)Wilson: 5%
Touches / gameTuten: 17.8 (best)Wilson: 16.7
Targets / gameTuten: 2.3 (best)Wilson: 1.3
Vacated touches this weekTuten: 0.0Wilson: 11.7 (best)
High value touches / gameTuten: 3.0 (best)Wilson: 2.6
Goal line carry shareTuten: 43%Wilson: 50% (best)
Red zone touches / gameTuten: 3.2 (best)Wilson: 2.6
Rush success rateTuten: 43% (best)Wilson: 36%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Tuten: 1.1% (best)Wilson: 0.9%
Usage worth vs scoredTuten: Earned by usage 12.5Scored 14.7Wilson: Earned by usage 11.9Scored 10.7
Rush yards / gameTuten: 64.7 (best)Wilson: 57.6
Points from rushingTuten: 57%Wilson: 78%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsTuten: AboveWilson: 1 RZ target
WOPRTuten: 0.09 (best)Wilson: 0.07
RZ target shareTuten: 9% (best)Wilson: 3%
Inside 10 target shareTuten: 9% (best)Wilson: 0%
Catch rateTuten: 93% (best)Wilson: 67%
Rushing points / gameTuten: 8.5 pts / game (best)Wilson: 8.3 pts / game
Rushing floorTuten: 8.3 pts / game (best)Wilson: 6.4 pts / game
Range
FloorTuten: 10.2 (best)Wilson: 6.8
CeilingTuten: 21.7 (best)Wilson: 18.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerTuten: 27%Wilson: 32%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Tuten: 17%Wilson: 17%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterTuten: 0% (best)Wilson: 33%
SteadinessTuten: Very steady (best)±5.5 pts · 6 gamesWilson: Up & down±9.3 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmTuten: B- (best)Wilson: C-
Game scriptTuten: Expected to lead (best)Wilson: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterTuten: 0.4 (best)Wilson: 1.4
Defense funnelTuten: NeutralWilson: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedTuten: 22nd (soft) (best)Wilson: 3rd (tough)
Backfield roleTuten: LeadWilson: Committee
Opp defender outTuten: Taylor-Britt (CB)Wilson: None listed
Roof / surfaceTuten: OpengrassWilson: Openturf
Rest / scheduleTuten: Off a byeWilson: Normal
Opp paceTuten: 7th (fast)Wilson: 1st (fast) (best)
Opp stuff rateTuten: 15% (best)25th (soft)Wilson: 18%18th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedTuten: 4.5 (best)27th (soft)Wilson: 4.321st (average)
Opp pass yds allowedTuten: 11th (average)Wilson: 20th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameTuten: 0.01st (tough)Wilson: 0.1 (best)24th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedTuten: 69%2nd (tough)Wilson: 84% (best)25th (soft)
Starting QBTuten: Lawrence (Active)Wilson: Darnold (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgTuten: 15.8 (best)Wilson: 12.3
Last 5 avgTuten: 15.7 (best)Wilson: 13.1
vs seasonTuten: +1.1 (Rising)Wilson: +1.6 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryTuten: 4.1 (best)Wilson: 3.6
Carries / gameTuten: 15.7Wilson: 15.9 (best)
Yards per route runTuten: 1.52 (best)Wilson: 1.35
Receiving aDOTTuten: −3.1Wilson: −1.3
Touch share trendTuten: SteadyWilson: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesTuten: 90% (best)Wilson: 47%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterTuten: RB15 (best)Wilson: RB24
Yards linerushingTuten: 65.5Wilson: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.