Davis
RB · NYJ vs CHI
Proj pts
9.8pts
market
Corum
RB · LA vs PHI
Proj pts
9.3pts
market
Blake Corum or Isaiah Davis: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Isaiah Davis over Blake Corum by 0.5. Isaiah Davis leads at 9.8. Blake Corum is the first one out, 0.5 short.
Highlights
Pros
- Big-play upside30% boom weeks
Cons
- Committee back8% of touches
- Negative game scriptTrailing
Pros
- Positive game scriptFavored
- Big-play upside31% boom weeks
Cons
- Committee back18% of touches
- Shaky floor5.3 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Davis 1.3, Corum 6.4.
Latest game on the card: Davis 0, Corum 3.5 (PPR points).
Why Isaiah Davis
Start Isaiah Davis — projects 9.8, an even matchup vs CHI, but the role is cooling.
Isaiah Davis projects 9.8 points on a 1.5–11.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against CHI. Usage: carries / game at 2.7. Net: start Isaiah Davis this week.
Working for Davis: Big-play upside (30% boom weeks).
Working against Davis: Committee back (8% of touches), Negative game script (Trailing).
Where Davis leads the head-to-head: Projection (9.8 vs 9.3); vs season (+1.7 vs -4.1); Target share (6% vs 2%); Yards per carry (5.5 vs 5.1).
Why Blake Corum
Sit Blake Corum — projects 9.3, an even matchup vs PHI.
Blake Corum projects 9.3 points on a 5.3–14.1 range. The matchup grades as neutral against PHI. Usage: carries / game at 8.5. Net: bench Blake Corum this week.
Working for Corum: Positive game script (Favored), Big-play upside (31% boom weeks).
Working against Corum: Committee back (18% of touches), Shaky floor (5.3 floor).
Where Corum leads the head-to-head: Floor (5.3 vs 1.5); Ceiling (14.1 vs 11.4); Touch share (18% vs 8%); Opportunity score (6.6 vs 4.3); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B- vs C); Implied team total (23.0 vs 20.0); Last 3 avg (6.4 vs 1.3); Last 5 avg (5.8 vs 5.5); Consistency (24% vs 14%); Boom rate (31% vs 30%); Bust rate (31% vs 40%); Carries / game (8.5 vs 2.7); Touches / game (9.0 vs 4.0); Snap share (29% vs 28%); Goal line carries (13 vs 0); Red zone carries (28 vs 9).
Recent form
Isaiah Davis's last 5 games: PPR points 13.5, 10, 4, 0, 0 (oldest to newest).
Blake Corum's last 5 games: PPR points 1.8, 7.9, 5.4, 10.2, 3.5 (oldest to newest).
Davis has already beaten Corum's 9.3 projection in 2 of his 5; Corum has beaten Davis's 9.8 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Isaiah Davis (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.
Blake Corum (LA) faces PHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 23.0, spread -3.5.
What flips it
Davis's edge is 0.5 points (9.8 to 9.3). Corum's ceiling (14.1) clears Davis's projection, so a big game from Corum flips it. Davis's floor (1.5) sits under Corum's projection, so a quiet game from Davis flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
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