Nix
QB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points15.8pts
Darnold
QB · SEA vs CHI
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points14.5pts
Lean
Bench
Bo Nix or Sam Darnold: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Bo Nix over Sam Darnold.
- Ahead by
- +1.3pts
- over Darnold
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 42%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Sam Darnold instead if you want an offense expected to score more (24.8 points to 19.8).
Risk
The risk: Darnold faces a Bears defense without safety Anthony Johnson Jr.
Highlights
NixLeanQB · DEN vs KCUsually 13.7+2.2pts this week
Helps him
- +2.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 1.00.
- +1.0ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 205.5 passing yards, above his usual 181.6.
- 25.0ceilingHis best weeks reach about 25.0 points.
Hurts him
- −0.7ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.17 rushing TDs, below his usual 0.29.
- 5th toughestper passEdgeKC allows plenty of QB chances because teams throw a lot against them; per pass they’re tough (0.41 pts, 5th toughest).
- 10.6floorA quiet week could drop to about 10.6 points.
DarnoldFirst outQB · SEA vs CHIUsually 14.9−0.3pts this week
Helps him
- +1.0ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.16 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.
- CHIvs QBsEdgeCHI is the 5th softest defense for quarterbacks.
Hurts him
- −1.5pts2 linesPassing yards 232.5 (usual 255.4) and rushing yards 4.5 (usual 10.4) both sit below his usual.
- 9.9floorA quiet week could drop to about 9.9 points.
- 4.5%INT rateHe throws an interception on 4.5% of his passes.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionNix: 15.8 (best)Darnold: 14.5
Rush TD pointsof the projectionNix: 1.0Darnold: 1.0
Rush TDs expectedthis weekNix: 0.17 (best)Darnold: 0.16
Projected team pointsNix: 19.8Darnold: 24.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameNix: 0.4 (best)Darnold: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameNix: 0.7 (best)Darnold: 0.0
Pass attempts / gameNix: 31.1 (best)Darnold: 29.5
Role
Snap shareNix: 100% (best)Darnold: 85%
Touch shareNix: 10% (best)Darnold: 3%
Touches / gameNix: 4.1 (best)Darnold: 1.5
Yards per attemptNix: 5.8Darnold: 7.3 (best)
Pass TD rateNix: 3%Darnold: 5% (best)
Rush yards / gameNix: 15.7 (best)Darnold: 8.7
Points from rushingNix: 24%Darnold: 7%
Rushing points / gameNix: 3.3 pts / game (best)Darnold: 0.9 pts / game
Rushing floorNix: 1.8 pts / game (best)Darnold: 0.9 pts / game
Designed runs / gameNix: 2.1 (best)Darnold: 0.0
Scrambles / gameNix: 1.0Darnold: 1.2 (best)
Dropbacks / gameNix: 33.7 (best)Darnold: 32.8
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameNix: 0.6 (best)Darnold: 0.0
Sacks per dropbackNix: 4% (best)Darnold: 7%
INT rateNix: 1.4% (best)Darnold: 4.5%
Pass aDOTNix: 5.7Darnold: 6.9
High value touches / gameNix: 0.6 (best)Darnold: 0.0
Goal line carry shareNix: 23% (best)Darnold: 0%
Red zone touches / gameNix: 0.7 (best)Darnold: 0.0
Rush success rateNix: 45%Darnold: 86% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Nix: 4.5% (best)Darnold: 0%
Range
FloorNix: 10.6 (best)Darnold: 9.9
CeilingNix: 25.0 (best)Darnold: 23.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerNix: 13%Darnold: 0%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Nix: 13%Darnold: 15% (best)
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterNix: 35% (best)Darnold: 46%
SteadinessNix: Steady±7.8 ptsDarnold: Steady (best)±7.4 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionNix: C-2026, 6 gmDarnold: A- (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptNix: Expected to trailDarnold: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterNix: 1.7Darnold: 1.4 (best)
Defense funnelNix: NeutralDarnold: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedNix: 12th (average)Darnold: 20th (average) (best)
Opp sacks / gameNix: 1.2 (best)Darnold: 2.7
Opp defender outNix: Norman-Lott (DT)Darnold: Johnson (SAF)
Roof / surfaceNix: OpengrassDarnold: Openturf
Rest / scheduleNix: NormalDarnold: Normal
Opp paceNix: 24th (slow)Darnold: 1st (fast) (best)
Opp pressure rateNix: 19% (best)23rd (soft)Darnold: 22%12th (average)
Pressure facedNix: 22% (best)Darnold: 30%
Opp rush yds allowedNix: 13th (average) (best)Darnold: 3rd (tough)
Opp stuff rateNix: 18%13th (average)Darnold: 17% (best)16th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedNix: 3.62nd (tough)Darnold: 4.5 (best)22nd (soft)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameNix: 4.0 (best)20th (average)Darnold: 3.715th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedNix: 65%8th (tough)Darnold: 67% (best)16th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgNix: 12.9 (best)Darnold: 11.1
Last 5 avgNix: 15.3 (best)Darnold: 14.9
vs seasonNix: −0.8 (Steady) (best)Darnold: −1.4 (Cooling)
Yards per carryNix: 3.8Darnold: 5.8 (best)
Carries / gameNix: 4.1 (best)Darnold: 1.5
Pass volume trendNix: SteadyDarnold: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesNix: 43% (best)Darnold: 40%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterNix: QB16 (best)Darnold: QB22
Yards linepassingNix: 205.5Darnold: 232.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.