Lawrence
QB · JAX vs IND
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points17.2pts
Darnold
QB · SEA vs CHI
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points14.5pts
Lean
Bench
Sam Darnold or Trevor Lawrence: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Trevor Lawrence over Sam Darnold.
- Ahead by
- +2.7pts
- over Darnold
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 81%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Sam Darnold instead if you want the easier matchup (the 5th softest defense for quarterbacks, while Lawrence faces the 11th softest defense for quarterbacks).
Risk
The case for Darnold is the easier matchup (the 5th softest defense for quarterbacks, while Lawrence faces the 11th softest defense for quarterbacks).
Highlights
LawrenceLeanQB · JAX vs INDUsually 19.0−1.8pts this week
Helps him
- +1.8ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.30 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.
- 28.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.3 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- −3.3ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, below his usual 2.33.
DarnoldFirst outQB · SEA vs CHIUsually 14.9−0.3pts this week
Helps him
- +1.0ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.16 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.
- CHIvs QBsEdgeCHI is the 5th softest defense for quarterbacks.
Hurts him
- −1.5pts2 linesPassing yards 232.5 (usual 255.4) and rushing yards 4.5 (usual 10.4) both sit below his usual.
- 9.9floorA quiet week could drop to about 9.9 points.
- 4.5%INT rateHe throws an interception on 4.5% of his passes.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionLawrence: 17.2 (best)Darnold: 14.5
Rush TD pointsof the projectionLawrence: 1.8 (best)Darnold: 1.0
Rush TDs expectedthis weekLawrence: 0.30 (best)Darnold: 0.16
Projected team pointsLawrence: 28.3 (best)Darnold: 24.8
Goal line carriesper gameLawrence: 0.0Darnold: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameLawrence: 0.3 (best)Darnold: 0.0
Pass attempts / gameLawrence: 30.7 (best)Darnold: 29.5
Role
Snap shareLawrence: 97% (best)Darnold: 85%
Touch shareLawrence: 6% (best)Darnold: 3%
Touches / gameLawrence: 2.8 (best)Darnold: 1.5
Yards per attemptLawrence: 8.0 (best)Darnold: 7.3
Pass TD rateLawrence: 8% (best)Darnold: 5%
Rush yards / gameLawrence: 11.7 (best)Darnold: 8.7
Points from rushingLawrence: 6%Darnold: 7%
Rushing points / gameLawrence: 1.2 pts / game (best)Darnold: 0.9 pts / game
Rushing floorLawrence: 1.0 pts / game (best)Darnold: 0.9 pts / game
Designed runs / gameLawrence: 1.2 (best)Darnold: 0.0
Scrambles / gameLawrence: 1.2Darnold: 1.2
Dropbacks / gameLawrence: 33.5 (best)Darnold: 32.8
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameLawrence: 0.0Darnold: 0.0
Sacks per dropbackLawrence: 5% (best)Darnold: 7%
INT rateLawrence: 2.2% (best)Darnold: 4.5%
Pass aDOTLawrence: 8.2Darnold: 6.9
High value touches / gameLawrence: 0.0Darnold: 0.0
Goal line carry shareLawrence: 0%Darnold: 0%
Red zone touches / gameLawrence: 0.3 (best)Darnold: 0.0
Rush success rateLawrence: 50%Darnold: 86% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Lawrence: 0%Darnold: 0%
Range
FloorLawrence: 13.9 (best)Darnold: 9.9
CeilingLawrence: 22.8Darnold: 23.8 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerLawrence: 0%Darnold: 0%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Lawrence: 28% (best)Darnold: 15%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterLawrence: 14% (best)Darnold: 46%
SteadinessLawrence: Very steady (best)±8.6 ptsDarnold: Steady±7.4 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmLawrence: B-Darnold: A- (best)
Game scriptLawrence: Expected to lead (best)Darnold: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterLawrence: 0.4 (best)Darnold: 1.4
Defense funnelLawrence: NeutralDarnold: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedLawrence: 11th (average)Darnold: 20th (average) (best)
Opp sacks / gameLawrence: 1.9 (best)Darnold: 2.7
Opp defender outLawrence: Taylor-Britt (CB)Darnold: None listed
Roof / surfaceLawrence: OpengrassDarnold: Openturf
Rest / scheduleLawrence: Off a byeDarnold: Normal
Opp paceLawrence: 7th (fast)Darnold: 1st (fast) (best)
Opp pressure rateLawrence: 20% (best)18th (average)Darnold: 22%12th (average)
Pressure facedLawrence: 20% (best)Darnold: 30%
Opp rush yds allowedLawrence: 22nd (soft) (best)Darnold: 3rd (tough)
Opp stuff rateLawrence: 14% (best)29th (soft)Darnold: 17%16th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedLawrence: 5.0 (best)28th (soft)Darnold: 4.522nd (soft)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameLawrence: 4.3 (best)26th (soft)Darnold: 3.715th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedLawrence: 64%6th (tough)Darnold: 67% (best)16th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgLawrence: 20.7 (best)Darnold: 11.1
Last 5 avgLawrence: 17.6 (best)Darnold: 14.9
vs seasonLawrence: +1.7 (Rising) (best)Darnold: −1.4 (Cooling)
Yards per carryLawrence: 4.1Darnold: 5.8 (best)
Carries / gameLawrence: 2.8 (best)Darnold: 1.5
Pass volume trendLawrence: SteadyDarnold: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesLawrence: 82% (best)Darnold: 40%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterLawrence: QB9 (best)Darnold: QB22
Yards linepassingLawrence: 241.5 (best)Darnold: 232.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.