Allen
RB · NYJ vs LV
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points12.0ptsUsage estimate
Wilson
RB · SEA vs CHI
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points11.6ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Braelon Allen or Emanuel Wilson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Braelon Allen gets the nod over Emanuel Wilson.
- Ahead by
- +0.4pts
- over Wilson
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
- Started
- 54%
- of leagues
Case for Wilson
The case for Wilson is more of the goal line work (50% of the carries inside the 5 to 25%) and more red zone touches (2.6 a game to 2.0).
Flips if
Start Emanuel Wilson instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (17% of his games to 0%).
Risk
The risk: Wilson ran for 100 yards, caught 1 for 15 and scored last week (18.5 points).
Highlights
AllenToss-upRB · NYJ vs LVUsually 10.9+1.1pts this week
Helps him
- +3.6ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- LVvs RBsEdgeLV is the 6th softest defense for running backs.
- +5.9last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 5.9 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- −2.1ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
WilsonFirst outRB · SEA vs CHIUsually 12.4−0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.5ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- 1.0inside the 5He averages 1.0 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.
- −3.0spreadEdgeHis team is expected to lead, which tends to mean more carries late.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- −1.0ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
- 3rd softestper carryEdgeCHI allows few RB chances because teams throw on them; per carry or target they’re soft (0.85 pts, 3rd softest).
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionAllen: 12.0 (best)Wilson: 11.6
Projected team pointsAllen: 23.5Wilson: 24.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameAllen: 0.3Wilson: 1.0 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameAllen: 1.3Wilson: 2.4 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameAllen: 0.7 (best)Wilson: 0.1
Role
Snap shareAllen: 67% (best)Wilson: 40%
Usage worthptsAllen: 11.7Wilson: 11.9 (best)
Touch shareAllen: 33%Wilson: 33%
Target shareAllen: 10% (best)Wilson: 5%
Touches / gameAllen: 15.1Wilson: 16.7 (best)
Targets / gameAllen: 2.9 (best)Wilson: 1.3
Air yards shareAllen: 0.2%Wilson: Behind the line
Vacated touches this weekAllen: 0.0Wilson: 11.7 (best)
High value touches / gameAllen: 2.4Wilson: 2.6 (best)
Goal line carry shareAllen: 25%Wilson: 50% (best)
Red zone touches / gameAllen: 2.0Wilson: 2.6 (best)
Rush success rateAllen: 42% (best)Wilson: 36%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Allen: 2.2% (best)Wilson: 0.9%
Usage worth vs scoredAllen: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 10.9Wilson: Earned by usage 11.9Scored 10.7
Rush yards / gameAllen: 59.7 (best)Wilson: 57.6
Points from rushingAllen: 71%Wilson: 78%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAllen: BelowWilson: 1 RZ target
WOPRAllen: 0.16 (best)Wilson: 0.07
RZ target shareAllen: 22% (best)Wilson: 3%
Inside 10 target shareAllen: 0%Wilson: 0%
Catch rateAllen: 75% (best)Wilson: 67%
Rushing points / gameAllen: 7.7 pts / gameWilson: 8.3 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorAllen: 5.1 pts / gameWilson: 6.4 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorAllen: 7.8 (best)Wilson: 6.8
CeilingAllen: 19.6 (best)Wilson: 18.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerAllen: 16%Wilson: 32%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Allen: 0%Wilson: 17% (best)
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterAllen: 29% (best)Wilson: 33%
SteadinessAllen: Steady (best)±6.2 pts · 7 gamesWilson: Up & down±9.3 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmAllen: B+ (best)Wilson: C-
Game scriptAllen: Expected to leadWilson: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterAllen: 1.7Wilson: 1.4 (best)
Defense funnelAllen: NeutralWilson: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedAllen: 30th (soft) (best)Wilson: 3rd (tough)
Backfield roleAllen: LeadWilson: Committee
Opp defender outAllen: None listedWilson: Johnson (SAF)
Roof / surfaceturfAllen: OpenWilson: Open
Rest / scheduleAllen: NormalWilson: Normal
Opp paceAllen: 9th (fast)Wilson: 1st (fast) (best)
Opp stuff rateAllen: 13% (best)29th (soft)Wilson: 18%18th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedAllen: 5.2 (best)31st (soft)Wilson: 4.321st (average)
Opp pass yds allowedAllen: 22nd (soft) (best)Wilson: 20th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameAllen: 0.01st (tough)Wilson: 0.1 (best)24th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedAllen: 93% (best)32nd (soft)Wilson: 84%25th (soft)
Starting QBAllen: Smith (Active)Wilson: Darnold (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgAllen: 16.8 (best)Wilson: 12.3
Last 5 avgAllen: 12.8Wilson: 13.1 (best)
vs seasonAllen: +5.9 (Rising) (best)Wilson: +1.6 (Rising)
Yards per carryAllen: 4.6 (best)Wilson: 3.6
Carries / gameAllen: 13.0Wilson: 15.9 (best)
Yards per route runAllen: 0.71Wilson: 1.35 (best)
Receiving aDOTAllen: 0.2Wilson: −1.3
Touch share trendAllen: SteadyWilson: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesAllen: 55% (best)Wilson: 47%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterAllen: RB21 (best)Wilson: RB24
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.