Allen
RB · NYJ vs CHI
Proj pts
16.7pts
market
Monangai
RB · CHI vs NYJ
Proj pts
15.7pts
market
Braelon Allen or Kyle Monangai: who should I start in Week 4?
Start Braelon Allen. Bench Kyle Monangai. Braelon Allen leads at 16.7. Kyle Monangai is the first one out, 1.0 short.
Crowd: 50% of managers started Allen.
Highlights
Pros
- Reliable99% consistency
Cons
- Committee back3% of touches
- Negative game scriptTrailing
Pros
- Run-funnel matchupRun-funnel vs RB
- Positive game scriptFavored
Cons
- Committee back22% of touches
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is goal line carries: Allen 1, Monangai 13.
Latest game on the card: Allen 4.7, Monangai 3.1 (PPR points).
Why Braelon Allen
Start Braelon Allen — projects 16.7, an even matchup vs CHI, with a rising role.
Braelon Allen projects 16.7 points on a 4.3–18.3 range. The matchup grades as neutral against CHI. Usage: carries / game at 4.5. Net: start Braelon Allen this week.
Working for Allen: Reliable (99% consistency).
Working against Allen: Committee back (3% of touches), Negative game script (Trailing).
Where Allen leads the head-to-head: Projection (16.7 vs 15.7); Ceiling (18.3 vs 17.4); vs season (+0.7 vs -1.1); Consistency (99% vs 35%); Bust rate (0% vs 25%).
Why Kyle Monangai
Sit Kyle Monangai — projects 15.7, a run-funnel matchup vs NYJ.
Kyle Monangai projects 15.7 points on a 7.2–17.4 range. The matchup grades as run-funnel against NYJ. Usage: carries / game at 9.9. Net: bench Kyle Monangai this week.
Working for Monangai: Run-funnel matchup (Run-funnel vs RB), Positive game script (Favored).
Working against Monangai: Committee back (22% of touches).
Where Monangai leads the head-to-head: Floor (7.2 vs 4.3); Touch share (22% vs 3%); Opportunity score (8.9 vs 4.0); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A+ vs C); Implied team total (23.5 vs 20.0); Last 3 avg (10.4 vs 5.7); Last 5 avg (9.0 vs 4.9); Boom rate (25% vs 0%); Carries / game (9.9 vs 4.5); Touches / game (11.0 vs 5.0); Target share (6% vs 3%); Yards per carry (4.6 vs 4.2); Snap share (41% vs 23%); Goal line carries (13 vs 1); Red zone carries (42 vs 7).
Recent form
Braelon Allen's last 5 games: PPR points 6.7, 0.6, 4, 8.5, 4.7 (oldest to newest).
Kyle Monangai's last 5 games: PPR points 7.7, 5.9, 20.4, 7.8, 3.1 (oldest to newest).
Allen has already beaten Monangai's 15.7 projection in 0 of his 5; Monangai has beaten Allen's 16.7 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Braelon Allen (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.
Kyle Monangai (CHI) faces NYJ, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated run-funnel. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread -3.5.
What flips it
Allen's edge is 1 points (16.7 to 15.7). Monangai's ceiling (17.4) clears Allen's projection, so a big game from Monangai flips it. Allen's floor (4.3) sits under Monangai's projection, so a quiet game from Allen flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Braelon Allen comparisons
- Bhayshul Tuten or Braelon Allen16.8 · 16.7
- Braelon Allen or Bucky Irving16.7 · 16.8
- Braelon Allen or David Montgomery16.7 · 17.3
- Braelon Allen or Rhamondre Stevenson16.7 · 15.1
More Kyle Monangai comparisons
- Kyle Monangai or Rhamondre Stevenson15.7 · 15.1
- Josh Jacobs or Kyle Monangai14.8 · 15.7
- Bhayshul Tuten or Kyle Monangai16.8 · 15.7
- Bucky Irving or Kyle Monangai16.8 · 15.7
This week's toughest calls
- Chuba Hubbard or James Cook21.7 · 21.7
- Kenny Gainwell or Rico Dowdle9.9 · 9.9
- Alvin Kamara or David Montgomery17.3 · 17.3
- Aaron Jones or Jeremiyah Love22.7 · 22.6
- Alvin Kamara or Quinshon Judkins17.3 · 17.3
- Bhayshul Tuten or Bucky Irving16.8 · 16.8
- More RB start/sit calls (running backs this week)