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Scoring
#1 Start

Henderson

RB · NE vs BUF

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

12.7pts

market

Lower Conf
Bench

Hall

RB · NYJ vs CHI

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

12.5pts

opportunity

Lower Conf

Breece Hall or TreVeyon Henderson: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean TreVeyon Henderson over Breece Hall by 0.2. TreVeyon Henderson leads at 12.7. Breece Hall is the first one out, 0.1 short.

Crowd: 57% of managers started Henderson.

Availability & news

  • Breece HallPractice: DNP

    Hall (quadriceps) didn't practice Thursday.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

Highlights

TreVeyon HendersonStart
RB · NE vs BUF

Pros

  • Run-funnel matchupRun-funnel vs RB
  • High floor11.3 floor

Cons

  • Committee back25% of touches
  • Negative game scriptTrailing
Breece HallBench
RB · NYJ vs CHI

Cons

  • Negative game scriptTrailing

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

HendersonStart
HallBench
Projection12.712.5
Floor11.38.4
Ceiling29.718.3
Touch share25%37%
Opportunity score10.414.0
Matchup grade(recency weighted)B+C
Implied team total20.820.0

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is goal line carries: Henderson 8, Hall 4.

Hall (Practice: DNP): “Hall (quadriceps) didn't practice Thursday.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Henderson 3.9, Hall 8.5 (PPR points).

Why TreVeyon Henderson

Start TreVeyon Henderson — projects 12.7, a run-funnel matchup vs BUF, but the role is cooling.

TreVeyon Henderson projects 12.7 points on a 11.3–29.7 range. The matchup grades as run-funnel against BUF. Usage: carries / game at 10.6. Net: start TreVeyon Henderson this week.

Working for Henderson: Run-funnel matchup (Run-funnel vs RB), High floor (11.3 floor).

Working against Henderson: Committee back (25% of touches), Negative game script (Trailing).

Where Henderson leads the head-to-head: Projection (12.7 vs 12.5); Floor (11.3 vs 8.4); Ceiling (29.7 vs 18.3); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B+ vs C); Implied team total (20.8 vs 20.0); Boom rate (21% vs 12%); Yards per carry (5.1 vs 4.4); Goal line carries (8 vs 4); Red zone carries (37 vs 24).

Why Breece Hall

Sit Breece Hall — projects 12.5, an even matchup vs CHI, with a rising role.

Breece Hall projects 12.5 points on a 8.4–18.3 range. The matchup grades as neutral against CHI. Usage: carries / game at 15.2. Net: bench Breece Hall this week.

Working against Hall: Negative game script (Trailing).

Where Hall leads the head-to-head: Touch share (37% vs 25%); Opportunity score (14.0 vs 10.4); Last 3 avg (14.2 vs 11.6); Last 5 avg (14.3 vs 9.0); vs season (+2.1 vs -6.8); Consistency (46% vs 38%); Bust rate (19% vs 21%); Carries / game (15.2 vs 10.6); Touches / game (17.4 vs 12.6); Target share (10% vs 8%); Snap share (64% vs 46%).

Recent form

TreVeyon Henderson's last 5 games: PPR points 2.2, 8.2, 17.3, 13.6, 3.9 (oldest to newest).

Breece Hall's last 5 games: PPR points 8.3, 20.9, 19.8, 14.2, 8.5 (oldest to newest).

Henderson has already beaten Hall's 12.5 projection in 2 of his 5; Hall has beaten Henderson's 12.7 in 3 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

TreVeyon Henderson (NE) faces BUF, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated run-funnel. Betting line: implied team total 20.8, spread +7.0.

Breece Hall (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.

What flips it

Henderson's edge is 0.2 points (12.7 to 12.5). Hall's ceiling (18.3) clears Henderson's projection, so a big game from Hall flips it. Henderson's floor (11.3) sits under Hall's projection, so a quiet game from Henderson flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.

More Breece Hall comparisons

More TreVeyon Henderson comparisons

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