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Scoring
#1 Start

Hall

RB · NYJ vs CHI

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

12.5pts

opportunity

Mod Conf
Bench

Pollard

RB · TEN vs BAL

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

11.8pts

market

Mod Conf

Breece Hall or Tony Pollard: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Breece Hall over Tony Pollard by 0.7. Breece Hall leads at 12.5. Tony Pollard is the first one out, 0.7 short.

Crowd: 38% of managers started Pollard.

Availability & news

  • Breece HallPractice: DNP

    Hall (quadriceps) didn't practice Thursday.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

  • Tony PollardPractice: DNP

    Pollard (foot) practiced without limitations Thursday.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

Highlights

Breece HallStart
RB · NYJ vs CHI

Cons

  • Negative game scriptTrailing
Tony PollardBench
RB · TEN vs BAL

Cons

  • Low team total15.5 team total

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

HallStart
PollardBench
Projection12.511.8
Floor8.47.9
Ceiling18.316.6
Touch share37%38%
Opportunity score14.012.5
Matchup grade(recency weighted)CB
Implied team total20.015.5

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is bust rate: Hall 19%, Pollard 6%.

Hall (Practice: DNP): “Hall (quadriceps) didn't practice Thursday.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Pollard (Practice: DNP): “Pollard (foot) practiced without limitations Thursday.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Hall 8.5 (PPR points).

Why Breece Hall

Start Breece Hall — projects 12.5, an even matchup vs CHI, with a rising role.

Breece Hall projects 12.5 points on a 8.4–18.3 range. The matchup grades as neutral against CHI. Usage: carries / game at 15.2. Net: start Breece Hall this week.

Working against Hall: Negative game script (Trailing).

Where Hall leads the head-to-head: Projection (12.5 vs 11.8); Floor (8.4 vs 7.9); Ceiling (18.3 vs 16.6); Opportunity score (14.0 vs 12.5); Implied team total (20.0 vs 15.5); Last 3 avg (14.2 vs 8.5); Last 5 avg (14.3 vs 9.3); vs season (+2.1 vs -2.5); Carries / game (15.2 vs 14.2); Touches / game (17.4 vs 16.2); Target share (10% vs 8%); Snap share (64% vs 62%); Red zone carries (24 vs 19).

Why Tony Pollard

Sit Tony Pollard — projects 11.8, an even matchup vs BAL, but the role is cooling.

Tony Pollard projects 11.8 points on a 7.9–16.6 range. The matchup grades as neutral against BAL. Usage: carries / game at 14.2. Net: bench Tony Pollard this week.

Working against Pollard: Low team total (15.5 team total).

Where Pollard leads the head-to-head: Touch share (38% vs 37%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B vs C); Consistency (52% vs 46%); Bust rate (6% vs 19%); Yards per carry (4.5 vs 4.4).

Recent form

Breece Hall's last 5 games: PPR points 8.3, 20.9, 19.8, 14.2, 8.5 (oldest to newest).

Tony Pollard's last 5 games: PPR points 4.4, 7.5, 9.5, 11.5, 13.6 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Hall has already beaten Pollard's 11.8 projection in 3 of his 5; Pollard has beaten Hall's 12.5 in 1 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Breece Hall (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.

Tony Pollard (TEN) faces BAL, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 15.5, spread +11.5.

What flips it

Hall's edge is 0.7 points (12.5 to 11.8). Pollard's ceiling (16.6) clears Hall's projection, so a big game from Pollard flips it. Hall's floor (8.4) sits under Pollard's projection, so a quiet game from Hall flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.

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