New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Spann-Ford

TE · DAL vs ARI

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points4.4pts

First out

Allen

TE · LA vs LAC

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points3.8ptsUsage estimate

Toss-up

Bench

Brevyn Spann-Ford or Davis Allen: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Brevyn Spann-Ford gets the nod over Davis Allen.

Ahead by: +0.6pts; over Allen
Confidence: Lower; The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate

Allen's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Case for Allen

The case for Allen is more big weeks (14% of his games to 0%) and more of the snaps (46% to 39%).

Flips if

Start Davis Allen instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (14% of his games to 0%).

Risk

The risk: Allen caught 4 for 20 yards and two touchdowns last week (18.0 points).

Highlights

Injuries as of Sat 6:00 AM ET

Spann-FordToss-upTE · DAL vs ARIUsually 2.4+2.0pts this week

Helps him

+1.3ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.22 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
30.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 30.8 points, a high scoring spot.
ARIvs TEsEdgeARI is the 7th softest defense for tight ends.

Hurts him

5%targetsHe draws only 5% of his team’s targets.
1.9per gameHe sees only 1.9 targets a game.

AllenFirst outTE · LA vs LACUsually 4.3−0.5pts this week

Helps him

18.0last weekHe caught 4 for 20 yards and two touchdowns last week (18.0 points).

Hurts him

−0.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
5%targetsHe draws only 5% of his team’s targets.
2.0per gameHe sees only 2.0 targets a game.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection4.43.8

TD pointsof the projection1.3Our estimate

Expected TDsthis week0.22Our estimate

Projected team points30.825.8

Red zone targetsper game0.10.6

Role

Snap share39%46%

Usage worthpts2.83.7

Target share5%5%

Targets / game1.92.0

Air yards share2%4%

Vacated targets this week1.212.2

RZ target share2%11%

Inside 10 target share0%18%

Catch rate69%71%

Separation2.4 yds3.3 yds

YAC over expected+0.7+0.2

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 2.8Scored 2.4Earned by usage 3.7Scored 4.3

Receiving TDs vs RZ targets1 RZ targetAbove

WOPR0.080.11

Range

Floor1.21.6

Ceiling7.75.8

Points from TDssteadier when lower0%40%

Big weeks (15+ pts)0%14%

Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is better83%86%

SteadinessVolatile±3.0 pts · 6 gamesVolatile±6.3 pts · 7 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionB+2026, 7 gmD-2026, 6 gm

Game scriptExpected to leadExpected to lead

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.11.7

Defense funnelPassNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed21st (average)7th (tough)

Starting QBPrescott (Active)Stafford (Active)

Opp defender outNolen (DT)None listed

Roof / surfaceturfRetractable roofDome

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace2nd (fast)15th (average)

Opp deep targets allowed / game0.618th (average)0.514th (average)

Opp catch rate allowed78%29th (soft)74%21st (average)

Form

Last 3 avg3.57.5

Last 5 avg2.75.3

vs season+1.1 (Rising)+3.1 (Rising)

Yards per route run1.551.28

Receiving aDOT2.55.9

Target share trendSteadySteady

Crowd

Nuvela position ranklower is betterTE34TE38

Yards linereceiving15.5Our estimate

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?