New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison
Toss-up

Spann-Ford

TE · DAL vs ARI

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points4.4pts

First out

Gray

TE · KC @ DEN

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET

Projected points3.6pts

Toss-up

Bench

Brevyn Spann-Ford or Noah Gray: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Brevyn Spann-Ford gets the nod over Noah Gray.

Ahead by
+0.8pts
over Gray
Confidence
Lower
Toss-up

Case for Gray

The case for Gray is a safer floor (1.9 to 1.2) and fewer dud weeks (50% of his games to 83%).

Flips if

Start Noah Gray instead if you need a safe week: he has a safer floor (1.9 to 1.2).

Risk

The risk: Gray faces a Broncos defense without linebacker Jonah Elliss.

Highlights

Injuries as of Sat 6:00 AM ET
Spann-FordToss-upTE · DAL vs ARIUsually 2.4+2.0pts this week

Helps him

  1. +1.3ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.22 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
  2. 30.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 30.8 points, a high scoring spot.
  3. ARIvs TEsEdgeARI is the 7th softest defense for tight ends.

Hurts him

  1. 5%targetsHe draws only 5% of his team’s targets.
  2. 1.9per gameHe sees only 1.9 targets a game.
GrayFirst outTE · KC @ DENUsually 4.6−1.1pts this week

Helps him

  1. +0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.12 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.

Hurts him

  1. −1.3ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 13.5 receiving yards, below his usual 26.3.
  2. −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, below his usual 2.0.
  3. 8%targetsHe draws only 8% of his team’s targets.
  4. 2.3per gameHe sees only 2.3 targets a game.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSpann-Ford: 4.4 (best)Gray: 3.6
TD pointsof the projectionSpann-Ford: 1.3 (best)Gray: 0.7
Expected TDsthis weekSpann-Ford: 0.22 (best)Gray: 0.12
Projected team pointsSpann-Ford: 30.8 (best)Gray: 20.8
Red zone targetsper gameSpann-Ford: 0.1Gray: 0.3 (best)
Role
Snap shareSpann-Ford: 39%Gray: 59% (best)
Usage worthptsSpann-Ford: 2.8Gray: 4.0 (best)
Target shareSpann-Ford: 5%Gray: 8% (best)
Targets / gameSpann-Ford: 1.9Gray: 2.3 (best)
Air yards shareSpann-Ford: 2%Gray: 9% (best)
Vacated targets this weekSpann-Ford: 1.2Gray: 3.8 (best)
RZ target shareSpann-Ford: 2%Gray: 8% (best)
Inside 10 target shareSpann-Ford: 0%Gray: 9% (best)
Catch rateSpann-Ford: 69%Gray: 86% (best)
SeparationSpann-Ford: 2.4 ydsGray: Not tracked
YAC over expectedSpann-Ford: +0.7Gray: Not tracked
Usage worth vs scoredSpann-Ford: Earned by usage 2.8Scored 2.4Gray: Earned by usage 4.0Scored 4.6
WOPRSpann-Ford: 0.08Gray: 0.20 (best)
Range
FloorSpann-Ford: 1.2Gray: 1.9 (best)
CeilingSpann-Ford: 7.7 (best)Gray: 6.0
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSpann-Ford: 0%Gray: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Spann-Ford: 0%Gray: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterSpann-Ford: 83%Gray: 50% (best)
SteadinessSpann-Ford: Volatile±3.0 pts · 6 gamesGray: Up & down (best)±3.4 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmSpann-Ford: B+ (best)Gray: C+
Game scriptSpann-Ford: Expected to lead (best)Gray: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSpann-Ford: 1.1 (best)Gray: 1.4
Defense funnelSpann-Ford: PassGray: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSpann-Ford: 21st (average) (best)Gray: 17th (average)
Starting QBSpann-Ford: Prescott (Active)Gray: Mahomes (Active)
Opp defender outSpann-Ford: Nolen (DT)Gray: Elliss (LB)
Roof / surfaceSpann-Ford: Retractable roofturfGray: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleSpann-Ford: NormalGray: Normal
Opp paceSpann-Ford: 2nd (fast) (best)Gray: 30th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSpann-Ford: 0.6 (best)18th (average)Gray: 0.411th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedSpann-Ford: 78% (best)29th (soft)Gray: 72%13th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgSpann-Ford: 3.5Gray: 6.5 (best)
Last 5 avgSpann-Ford: 2.7Gray: 5.3 (best)
vs seasonSpann-Ford: +1.1 (Rising)Gray: +1.8 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runSpann-Ford: 1.55Gray: 2.14 (best)
Receiving aDOTSpann-Ford: 2.5Gray: 6.9
Target share trendSpann-Ford: SteadyGray: Cooling
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSpann-Ford: TE34 (best)Gray: TE39
Yards linereceivingSpann-Ford: 15.5 (best)Gray: 13.5

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