Brock Bowers or Dallas Goedert: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Brock Bowers over Dallas Goedert.
Ahead by
+5.0pts
over Goedert
Confidence
Moderate
The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Started
98%
of leagues
Goedert's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
Start Dallas Goedert instead if you want the easier matchup (the 2nd softest defense for tight ends, while Bowers faces the 16th softest defense for tight ends).
Risk
The risk: Bowers's share of the targets fell to 19% in Week 7, against 27% for the season.
Highlights
Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
BowersLeanTE · LV @ NYJUsually 19.1−2.9pts this week
Helps him
27%targetsHe draws 27% of his team’s targets, a lead share for a tight end.
10.2per gameHe sees 10.2 targets a game.
1.6red zoneHe gets 1.6 red zone targets a game, a real path to touchdowns.
Hurts him
−2.1ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 70.0 receiving yards, below his usual 91.0.
−1.3ptscatchesHis lines put him at 5.5 catches, below his usual 6.8.
GoedertFirst outTE · PHI @ WASUsually 13.8−2.7pts this week
Helps him
+1.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
WASvs TEsEdgeWAS is the 2nd softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
−1.6ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
−1.5ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
−0.5ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
StatStat comparisonEvery player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
ScoringHigh impact
ProjectionBowers: 16.2 (best)Goedert: 11.2
TD pointsof the projectionBowers: 3.7Goedert: Our estimate