Otton
TE · TB vs GB
Proj pts
8.4pts
market
Fant
TE · NO vs ATL
QuestionableProj pts
6.9pts
market
Cade Otton or Noah Fant: who should I start in Week 4?
Start Cade Otton. Bench Noah Fant. Cade Otton leads at 8.4. Noah Fant is the first one out, 1.5 short.
Crowd: 35% of managers started Fant.
Availability & news
Noah FantQuestionable
Fant was limited in practice Thursday due to an abdominal injury.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Cons
- Low team total18.0 team total
Pros
- Spike upside14.8 ceiling
Cons
- Below your start line1.5 pts short
- Low TE usage9% target share
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is touchdown dependence: Otton 5%, Fant 24%.
Fant (Questionable): “Fant was limited in practice Thursday due to an abdominal injury.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Otton 8.6 (PPR points).
Why Cade Otton
Start Cade Otton — projects 8.4, an even matchup vs GB.
Cade Otton projects 8.4 points on a 5.2–9.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against GB. Usage: targets / game at 5.4. Net: start Cade Otton this week.
Working against Otton: Low team total (18.0 team total).
Where Otton leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.4 vs 6.9); Floor (5.2 vs 1.6); Target share (18% vs 9%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C- vs D-); Last 5 avg (11.3 vs 10.9); Targets / game (5.4 vs 3.2); Snap share (94% vs 40%); Red zone targets (7 vs 4); Grade vs TE (recency weighted) (C- vs D-).
Why Noah Fant
Sit Noah Fant — projects 6.9, a tough matchup vs ATL, with a rising role.
Noah Fant projects 6.9 points on a 1.6–14.8 range. The matchup grades as tough against ATL. Usage: targets / game at 3.2. Net: bench Noah Fant this week.
Working for Fant: Spike upside (14.8 ceiling).
Working against Fant: Below your start line (1.5 pts short), Low TE usage (9% target share).
Where Fant leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (14.8 vs 9.2); Implied team total (25.8 vs 18.0); Last 3 avg (10.9 vs 7.7); vs season (+6.2 vs +3.2); Consistency (40% vs 31%); Boom rate (27% vs 20%); Touchdown dependence (24% vs 5%); Implied total (25.8 vs 18.0).
Recent form
Cade Otton's last 4 games: PPR points 22.4, 5.6, 8.8, 8.6 (oldest to newest).
Noah Fant's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 13.3, 19.3 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Otton has already beaten Fant's 6.9 projection in 3 of his 4; Fant has beaten Otton's 8.4 in 2 of his 3.
Matchup
Cade Otton (TB) faces GB, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +3.5.
Noah Fant (NO) faces ATL, kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 25.8, spread -3.0.
What flips it
Otton's edge is 1.5 points (8.4 to 6.9). Fant's ceiling (14.8) clears Otton's projection, so a big game from Fant flips it. Otton's floor (5.2) sits under Fant's projection, so a quiet game from Otton flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Colston Loveland or Hunter Henry11.3 · 11.2
- Juwan Johnson or Tucker Kraft12.3 · 12.2
- Hunter Henry or AJ Barner11.2 · 11.2
- Tucker Kraft or Isaiah Likely12.2 · 12.2
- Brenton Strange or Colston Loveland11.4 · 11.3
- Colston Loveland or AJ Barner11.3 · 11.2
- More TE start/sit calls (tight ends this week)