Ridley
WR · TEN vs CLE
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETQQuestionable · Hip, practice DNP
Projected points2.0pts
if he plays · 48% to play
Miller
WR · NE vs CHI
FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE
Final pointsPending
projected 1.9
Calvin Ridley or Ryan Miller: who should I start in Week 7?
Highlights
RidleyWR · TEN vs CLEUsually 2.2−0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.10 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 8.5 receiving yards, below his usual 13.5.
- 7%targetsHe draws only 7% of his team’s targets.
- 1.7per gameHe sees only 1.7 targets a game.
MillerWR · NE vs CHIUsually 3.6−1.7pts this week
Helps him
- +0.8ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- −0.1ptsinjuryHis injury tag takes 0.1 points off his projection.
- −1.3ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- −0.9ptsroleHe’s expected to play fewer snaps this week than he has lately.
- 3%targetsHe draws only 3% of his team’s targets.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionRidley: 2.0 (best)Miller: 1.9
TD pointsof the projectionRidley: 0.6Miller: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekRidley: 0.10Miller: Our estimate
Projected team pointsRidley: 17.5Miller: 23.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameRidley: 0.2 (best)Miller: 0.0
Role
Snap shareRidley: 54% (best)Miller: 14%
Usage worthptsRidley: 2.7 (best)Miller: 1.3
Target shareRidley: 7% (best)Miller: 3%
Targets / gameRidley: 1.7 (best)Miller: 0.8
Air yards shareRidley: 8% (best)Miller: 3%
WOPRRidley: 0.15 (best)Miller: 0.07
RZ target shareRidley: 5% (best)Miller: 0%
Catch rateRidley: 50%Miller: 4 targets
Usage worth vs scoredRidley: Earned by usage 2.7Scored 2.2Miller: Earned by usage 1.3Scored 3.6
Vacated targets this weekRidley: 0.0Miller: 9.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareRidley: 0%Miller: 0%
Range
FloorRidley: 0.8 (best)Miller: 0.6
CeilingRidley: 3.4Miller: 3.5 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerRidley: 0%Miller: 33%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Ridley: 0%Miller: 0%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterRidley: 84%Miller: 80% (best)
SteadinessRidley: Volatile (best)±5.1 ptsMiller: Volatile±6.4 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmRidley: CMiller: B- (best)
Game scriptRidley: Expected to trail (best)Miller: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterRidley: 1.2 (best)Miller: 1.5
Defense funnelRidley: NeutralMiller: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedRidley: 13th (average)Miller: 15th (average) (best)
Starting QBRidley: Ward (Active)Miller: Maye (Active)
Opp defender outRidley: Hall (DT)Miller: Edwards (LB)
Roof / surfaceRidley: OpengrassMiller: Open
Rest / scheduleRidley: NormalMiller: Short week (4d)
Opp paceRidley: 26th (slow)Miller: 1st (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameRidley: 5.2 (best)30th (soft)Miller: 3.524th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedRidley: 57%7th (tough)Miller: 60% (best)13th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgRidley: 2.5 (best)Miller: 1.2
Last 5 avgRidley: 2.6Miller: 3.6 (best)
vs seasonRidley: +0.3 (Rising) (best)Miller: −2.5 (Cooling)
Yards per route runRidley: 0.92Miller: 5.41 (best)
Receiving aDOTRidley: 8.7Miller: 4 targets
Target share trendRidley: SteadyMiller: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterRidley: WR111 (best)Miller: WR113
Yards linereceivingRidley: 8.5Miller: Our estimate
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