Ferguson
TE · DAL vs ARI
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points5.3pts
Kolar
TE · LAC @ LA
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points5.7pts
Toss-up
Bench
Charlie Kolar or Jake Ferguson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Jake Ferguson gets the nod over Charlie Kolar.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Kolar
The case for Kolar is a safer floor (4.1 to 2.7) and fewer dud weeks (50% of his games to 71%).
Flips if
Start Charlie Kolar instead if you need a safe week: he has a safer floor (4.1 to 2.7).
Risk
Charlie Kolar has played 2 games since missing time.
Highlights
FergusonToss-upTE · DAL vs ARIUsually 6.4−1.0pts this week
Helps him
- 30.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 30.8 points, a high scoring spot.
- ARIvs TEsEdgeARI is the 7th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- −0.9ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, below his usual 2.4.
- 9%targetsHe draws only 9% of his team’s targets.
- 3.6per gameHe sees only 3.6 targets a game.
KolarFirst outTE · LAC @ LAUsually 3.7+2.0pts this week
Helps him
- +1.3ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.22 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- more targets this weekEdgeWith Njoku out, more targets should come his way this week.
Hurts him
- 3.2per gameHe sees only 3.2 targets a game.
- 19.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 19.3 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionFerguson: 5.3Kolar: 5.7 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionFerguson: 2.3 (best)Kolar: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekFerguson: 0.38 (best)Kolar: 0.22
Projected team pointsFerguson: 30.8 (best)Kolar: 19.3
Red zone targetsper gameFerguson: 0.7 (best)Kolar: 0.5
Role
Snap shareFerguson: 67% (best)Kolar: 65%
Usage worthptsFerguson: 6.1 (best)Kolar: 5.3
Target shareFerguson: 9%Kolar: 12% (best)
Targets / gameFerguson: 3.6 (best)Kolar: 3.3
Air yards shareFerguson: 6%Kolar: 7% (best)
Vacated targets this weekFerguson: 1.2Kolar: 7.0 (best)
RZ target shareFerguson: 12%Kolar: 15% (best)
Inside 10 target shareFerguson: 20% (best)Kolar: 13%
Catch rateFerguson: 68%Kolar: 69% (best)
SeparationFerguson: 3.8 yds (best)Kolar: 3.0 yds
YAC over expectedFerguson: −0.2 (best)Kolar: −0.3
Usage worth vs scoredFerguson: Earned by usage 6.1Scored 6.4Kolar: Earned by usage 5.3Scored 3.7
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsFerguson: AboveKolar: 2 RZ targets
WOPRFerguson: 0.18Kolar: 0.24 (best)
Range
FloorFerguson: 2.7Kolar: 4.1 (best)
CeilingFerguson: 8.9Kolar: 9.0 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerFerguson: 40%Kolar: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Ferguson: 14% (best)Kolar: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterFerguson: 71%Kolar: 50% (best)
SteadinessFerguson: Volatile±6.8 pts · 7 gamesKolar: Up & down (best)±2.5 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmFerguson: B+ (best)Kolar: D-
Game scriptFerguson: Expected to lead (best)Kolar: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterFerguson: 1.1Kolar: 0.9 (best)
Defense funnelFerguson: PassKolar: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedFerguson: 21st (average) (best)Kolar: 4th (tough)
Starting QBFerguson: Prescott (Active)Kolar: Herbert (Active)
Opp defender outFerguson: Nolen (DT)Kolar: None listed
Roof / surfaceturfFerguson: Retractable roofKolar: Dome
Rest / scheduleFerguson: NormalKolar: Off a bye
Opp paceFerguson: 2nd (fast) (best)Kolar: 3rd (fast)
Opp deep targets allowed / game18th (average)Ferguson: 0.6Kolar: 0.6
Opp catch rate allowedFerguson: 78% (best)29th (soft)Kolar: 59%2nd (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgFerguson: 2.7Kolar: 4.9 (best)
Last 5 avgFerguson: 4.3 (best)Kolar: 3.7
vs seasonFerguson: −3.6 (Cooling)Kolar: +1.2 (best)
Yards per route runFerguson: 0.64Kolar: 1.32 (best)
Receiving aDOTFerguson: 5.0Kolar: 4.8
Target share trendFerguson: CoolingKolar: Steady
Games since injuryFerguson: None recentlyKolar: 2
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterFerguson: TE31Kolar: TE30 (best)
Yards linereceivingFerguson: 15.5Kolar: 18.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
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