TEDAL vs HOUTE2010.1 projected (4.5–12.2)PPR

Should I start Jake Ferguson in Week 4?

Sit Jake Ferguson in Week 4. Ferguson projects 10.1 PPR points to Tucker Kraft's 12.2.

Measured against the TE12 start line: Tucker Kraft, TE12 at 12.2 projected PPR points, the last tight end inside it.

Week 4 · Updated Tue 6:00 AM ET

Why Jake Ferguson

Sit Jake Ferguson — projects 10.1, an even matchup vs HOU, with a rising role.

Jake Ferguson projects 10.1 points on a 4.5–12.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against HOU. Usage: targets / game at 6.0. Net: Jake Ferguson is a bench this week.

Working for Ferguson: Red-zone role (1.5 RZ targets/g).

Working against Ferguson: Below your start line (2.1 pts short), Shaky floor (4.5 floor).

Matchup

Jake Ferguson (DAL) faces HOU, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 23.0, spread +2.5.

Recent form

Jake Ferguson's last 5 games: PPR points 7.6, 1.5, 2.6, 20.3, 9.3 (oldest to newest).

At least 1 of these 5 were played before the 2026 season — the card does not date them.

What flips it

Kraft's edge is 2.1 points (12.2 to 10.1). Kraft's floor (6.4) sits under Ferguson's projection, so a quiet game from Kraft flips it. Confidence in the call: moderate.

Compare Jake Ferguson with…

The players closest to Jake Fergusonin this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.