Woerner
TE · ATL @ TB
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.4ptsUsage estimate
Thomas
TE · LV @ NYJ
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · shoulder
Projected points1.4ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Charlie Woerner or Ian Thomas: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Charlie Woerner gets the nod over Ian Thomas.
- Ahead by
- Level
- with Thomas
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Thomas
The case for Thomas is an offense expected to score more (22.0 points to 20.5) and a defense that allows more catches (72% of targets to 70%).
Flips if
If the weather in Charlie Woerner's game turns worse, start Ian Thomas.
Risk
Weather in Charlie Woerner's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. Ian Thomas was limited in practice: check the final injury report and the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 7:00 PM ET
Highlights
WoernerToss-upTE · ATL @ TBUsually 0.6+0.8pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- TBvs TEsEdgeTB is the 8th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- 2%targetsHe draws only 2% of his team’s targets.
- 0.7per gameHe sees only 0.7 targets a game.
ThomasFirst outTE · LV @ NYJUsually 2.4−1.1pts this week
Helps him
- OutBaileyEdgeHe faces a Jets defense without linebacker David Bailey.
Hurts him
- −1.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play fewer snaps this week than he has lately.
- −0.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 2%targetsHe draws only 2% of his team’s targets.
- 0.7per gameHe sees only 0.7 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWoerner: 1.4Thomas: 1.4
Projected team pointsWoerner: 20.5Thomas: 22.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameWoerner: 0.1 (best)Thomas: 0.0
Role
Snap shareWoerner: 57% (best)Thomas: 33%
Usage worthptsWoerner: 1.3 (best)Thomas: 1.1
Target shareWoerner: 2%Thomas: 2%
Targets / gameWoerner: 0.7Thomas: 0.7
Air yards shareWoerner: 1%Thomas: 1%
Vacated targets this weekWoerner: 0.0Thomas: 3.0 (best)
RZ target shareWoerner: 4% (best)Thomas: 0%
Inside 10 target shareWoerner: 0%Thomas: 0%
Catch rateWoerner: 40%Thomas: 100% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredWoerner: Earned by usage 1.3Scored 0.6Thomas: Earned by usage 1.1Scored 2.4
WOPRWoerner: 0.04 (best)Thomas: 0.03
Range
FloorWoerner: 0.7Thomas: 0.7
CeilingWoerner: 2.4 (best)Thomas: 2.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWoerner: 0%Thomas: 35%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Woerner: 0%Thomas: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterWoerner: 96%Thomas: 80% (best)
SteadinessWoerner: Avg 0 or belowThomas: Volatile±4.4 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmWoerner: B (best)Thomas: C
Game scriptWoerner: Expected to trailThomas: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWoerner: 1.7Thomas: 1.1 (best)
Defense funnelWoerner: NeutralThomas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWoerner: 14th (average) (best)Thomas: 5th (tough)
Starting QBWoerner: Penix (Active)Thomas: Cousins (Active)
Opp defender outWoerner: None listedThomas: Bailey (LB)
WeatherWoerner: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainThomas: No concern
Roof / surfaceWoerner: OpengrassThomas: Openturf
Rest / scheduleWoerner: NormalThomas: Normal
Opp paceWoerner: 14th (average) (best)Thomas: 28th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWoerner: 0.6 (best)18th (average)Thomas: 0.14th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedWoerner: 70%12th (average)Thomas: 72% (best)14th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgWoerner: 1.5 (best)Thomas: 1.2
Last 5 avgWoerner: 0.9Thomas: 3.0 (best)
vs seasonWoerner: +0.9 (Rising) (best)Thomas: −1.2 (Cooling)
Yards per route runWoerner: 0.39Thomas: 1.67 (best)
Receiving aDOTWoerner: 2.8Thomas: 5.0
Target share trendWoerner: SteadyThomas: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWoerner: TE63 (best)Thomas: TE64
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.