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Sit or start?
Week8 · 2026
Scoring

Updated Fri 30 Oct, 7:00 PM ET

Bench
TELV

Ian Thomas

Las Vegas Raiders

@ New York JetsSun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited

Projected
1.4pts
Week rank
TE64
Started
—

Range this weekNuvela estimate

Floor 0.7Ceiling 2.3

TELV @ NYJTE641.4 projected (0.7–2.3)PPR

Should I start Ian Thomas in Week 8?

Sit Ian Thomas in Week 8.

Thomas projects 1.4 PPR points to Brenton Strange’s 9.6.

Measured against the TE12 start line: Brenton Strange, TE12 at 9.6 projected PPR points, the last tight end inside it.

ConfidenceHighStart · 8.2 pts · The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate

Edge

Strange has the easier matchup (the 10th softest defense for tight ends, while Thomas faces the 16th softest defense for tight ends).

Why

Strange's lines put him at 0.39 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.

What flips it

Only news flips this: an injury tag on Brenton Strange or a bigger role for Ian Thomas.

Why Ian Thomas

Sit Ian Thomas, 8.2 pts behind Brenton Strange.

Working against Thomas: Smaller role expected, Track record holds him back, Low TE usage (2% target share), Thin volume (0.7 targets/g).

Matchup

Ian Thomas (LV) faces NYJ, kickoff Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. His team projects 22.0 points. It projects as a close game.

Recent form

Ian Thomas's last 5 games: PPR points Wk 3 · 0.0, Wk 4 · 11.2, Wk 5 · 1.9, Wk 6 · 0.0, Wk 7 · 1.8 (oldest to newest).

Compare Ian Thomas with…

The players closest to Ian Thomas in this week’s PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.

Ian ThomasTE64 · 1.4 proj

Choose 1 to 4 players to compare with Thomas.

Closest calls

More close calls for Thomas

More TE start/sit callsTight ends this week: the Week 8 TE rankings and all 244 calls

Stats behind the call

Each of Thomas’s figures beside the TE12 start line. Blue means he’s ahead of it.

StatThomasBench@ NYJTE12 lineStrange · vs IND
Scoring
ProjectionThomas: 1.4Strange: 9.6
TD pointsof the projectionThomas: Our estimateStrange: 2.3
Expected TDsthis weekThomas: Our estimateStrange: 0.39
Projected team pointsThomas: 22.0Strange: 28.3
Red zone targetsper gameThomas: 0.0Strange: 0.5
Range
Last 5 games PPR pointsTE12 line 9.6Avg 3.0Ian Thomas’s last 5 games in PPR points, oldest to newest: Week 3, 0.0; Week 4, 11.2; Week 5, 1.9; Week 6, 0.0; Week 7, 1.8. Week 8 projection 1.4. The TE12 start line is 9.6.
FloorThomas: 0.7Strange: 6.1
CeilingThomas: 2.3Strange: 15.0
Points from TDssteadier when lowerThomas: 35%Strange: 10%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Thomas: 0%Strange: 14%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterThomas: 80%Strange: 18%
SteadinessThomas: Volatile±4.4 pts · 5 gamesStrange: Very steady±4.6 pts

Ian Thomas player props

Hit rates, game log and usage: Ian Thomas props.

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