Woerner
TE · ATL @ TB
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.4ptsUsage estimate
Durham
TE · TB vs ATL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.3ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Charlie Woerner or Payne Durham: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Charlie Woerner gets the nod over Payne Durham.
- Ahead by
- +0.1pts
- over Durham
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Durham
The case for Durham is an offense expected to score more (23.0 points to 20.5) and a softer pass defense.
Flips if
Start Payne Durham instead if you want an offense expected to score more (23.0 points to 20.5).
Risk
Weather in Charlie Woerner's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. Weather in Payne Durham's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
WoernerToss-upTE · ATL @ TBUsually 0.6+0.8pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- TBvs TEsEdgeTB is the 8th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- 2%targetsHe draws only 2% of his team’s targets.
- 0.7per gameHe sees only 0.7 targets a game.
DurhamFirst outTE · TB vs ATLUsually 0.2+1.1pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- 1%targetsHe draws only 1% of his team’s targets.
- 0.3per gameHe sees only 0.3 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWoerner: 1.4 (best)Durham: 1.3
Projected team pointsWoerner: 20.5Durham: 23.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameWoerner: 0.1 (best)Durham: 0.0
Role
Snap shareWoerner: 57% (best)Durham: 28%
Usage worthptsWoerner: 1.3 (best)Durham: 0.4
Target shareWoerner: 2% (best)Durham: 1%
Targets / gameWoerner: 0.7 (best)Durham: 0.3
Air yards shareWoerner: 1% (best)Durham: 0.4%
Vacated targets this weekWoerner: 0.0Durham: 9.2 (best)
RZ target shareWoerner: 4% (best)Durham: 0%
Inside 10 target shareWoerner: 0%Durham: 0%
Catch rateWoerner: 40%Durham: 2 targets
Usage worth vs scoredWoerner: Earned by usage 1.3Scored 0.6Durham: Earned by usage 0.4Scored 0.2
WOPRWoerner: 0.04 (best)Durham: 0.02
Range
FloorWoerner: 0.7Durham: 0.7
CeilingWoerner: 2.4 (best)Durham: 2.2
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWoerner: 0%Durham: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Woerner: 0%Durham: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterWoerner: 96% (best)Durham: 100%
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmWoerner: B (best)Durham: C+
Game scriptWoerner: Expected to trailDurham: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWoerner: 1.7Durham: 1.3 (best)
Defense funnelWoerner: NeutralDurham: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWoerner: 14th (average)Durham: 29th (soft) (best)
Starting QBWoerner: Penix (Active)Durham: Mayfield (Active)
Weather73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainWoerner: OutdoorDurham: Outdoor
Roof / surfacegrassWoerner: OpenDurham: Open
Rest / scheduleWoerner: NormalDurham: Normal
Opp paceWoerner: 14th (average) (best)Durham: 21st (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWoerner: 0.6 (best)18th (average)Durham: 0.14th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedWoerner: 70%12th (average)Durham: 77% (best)28th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgWoerner: 1.5 (best)Durham: 0.5
Last 5 avgWoerner: 0.9 (best)Durham: 0.3
vs seasonWoerner: +0.9 (Rising) (best)Durham: +0.3 (Rising)
Yards per route runWoerner: 0.39 (best)Durham: 0.36
Receiving aDOTWoerner: 2.8Durham: 2 targets
Target share trendWoerner: SteadyDurham: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWoerner: TE63 (best)Durham: TE65
Deciding on someone else?
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