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Sit or start?
Week8 · 2026
Scoring

Updated Fri 30 Oct, 7:00 PM ET

Bench
TETB

Payne Durham

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

vs Atlanta FalconsSun 1:00 PM ET

Projected
1.3pts
Week rank
TE65
Started
—

Range this weekNuvela estimate

Floor 0.7Ceiling 2.2

TETB vs ATLTE651.3 projected (0.7–2.2)PPR

Should I start Payne Durham in Week 8?

Sit Payne Durham in Week 8.

Durham projects 1.3 PPR points to Brenton Strange’s 9.6.

Measured against the TE12 start line: Brenton Strange, TE12 at 9.6 projected PPR points, the last tight end inside it.

ConfidenceHighStart · 8.3 pts · The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate

Edge

Brenton Strange projects 8.3 more than Payne Durham.

Why

Strange's lines put him at 0.39 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.

What flips it

Only news flips this: an injury tag on Brenton Strange or a bigger role for Payne Durham.

Why Payne Durham

Sit Payne Durham, 8.3 pts behind Brenton Strange.

Working for Durham: Room to bounce back.

Working against Durham: Low TE usage (1% target share), Thin volume (0.3 targets/g).

Matchup

Payne Durham (TB) faces ATL, kickoff Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. His team projects 23.0 points. It projects as a close game.

Recent form

Payne Durham's last 5 games: PPR points Wk 3 · 0.0, Wk 4 · 0.0, Wk 5 · 1.5, Wk 6 · 0.0, Wk 7 · 0.0 (oldest to newest).

Compare Payne Durham with…

The players closest to Payne Durham in this week’s PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.

Payne DurhamTE65 · 1.3 proj

Choose 1 to 4 players to compare with Durham.

Closest calls

More close calls for Durham

More TE start/sit callsTight ends this week: the Week 8 TE rankings and all 244 calls

Stats behind the call

Each of Durham’s figures beside the TE12 start line. Blue means he’s ahead of it.

StatDurhamBenchvs ATLTE12 lineStrange · vs IND
Scoring
ProjectionDurham: 1.3Strange: 9.6
TD pointsof the projectionDurham: Our estimateStrange: 2.3
Expected TDsthis weekDurham: Our estimateStrange: 0.39
Projected team pointsDurham: 23.0Strange: 28.3
Red zone targetsper gameDurham: 0.0Strange: 0.5
Range
Last 5 games PPR pointsTE12 line 9.6Avg 0.3Payne Durham’s last 5 games in PPR points, oldest to newest: Week 3, 0.0; Week 4, 0.0; Week 5, 1.5; Week 6, 0.0; Week 7, 0.0. Week 8 projection 1.3. The TE12 start line is 9.6.
FloorDurham: 0.7Strange: 6.1
CeilingDurham: 2.2Strange: 15.0
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDurham: 0%Strange: 10%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Durham: 0%Strange: 14%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterDurham: 100%Strange: 18%
SteadinessDurham: Avg 0 or belowStrange: Very steady±4.6 pts

Payne Durham player props

Hit rates, game log and usage: Payne Durham props.

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