Williams
RB · DAL vs ARI
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points17.1pts
Brown
RB · CIN vs TEN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points16.6pts
Toss-up
Bench
Chase Brown or Javonte Williams: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Javonte Williams gets the nod over Chase Brown.
- Ahead by
- +0.5pts
- over Brown
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
- Started
- 98%
- of leagues
Case for Brown
The case for Brown is the easier matchup (the 7th softest defense for running backs, while Williams faces the 12th toughest defense for running backs).
Flips if
Start Chase Brown instead if you want the easier matchup (the 7th softest defense for running backs, while Williams faces the 12th toughest defense for running backs).
Risk
The case for Brown is the easier matchup (the 7th softest defense for running backs, while Williams faces the 12th toughest defense for running backs).
Highlights
WilliamsToss-upRB · DAL vs ARIUsually 18.6−1.5pts this week
Helps him
- +1.0ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 77.5 rushing yards, above his usual 67.4.
- 2.4inside the 5He averages 2.4 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.
- 12.1floorA quiet week still projects to about 12.1 points.
- 5games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 5 straight games.
Hurts him
- −1.2ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, below his usual 2.7.
- −1.0ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 1.12 touchdowns, below his usual 1.29.
- ARIvs RBsEdgeARI is the 12th toughest defense for running backs.
BrownFirst outRB · CIN vs TENUsually 12.5+4.2pts this week
Helps him
- +4.4ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.90 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.
- +1.0ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 57.0 rushing yards, above his usual 47.5.
- TENvs RBsEdgeTEN is the 7th softest defense for running backs.
- 5.5per gameHe adds 5.5 targets a game as a receiver.
Hurts him
- −1.2ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, below his usual 4.7.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilliams: 17.1 (best)Brown: 16.6
TD pointsof the projectionWilliams: 6.7 (best)Brown: 5.4
Expected TDsthis weekWilliams: 1.12 (best)Brown: 0.90
Projected team pointsWilliams: 30.8 (best)Brown: 29.5
Goal line carriesper gameWilliams: 2.4 (best)Brown: 0.7
Red zone carriesper gameWilliams: 4.4 (best)Brown: 2.2
Red zone targetsper gameWilliams: 0.4Brown: 0.5 (best)
Role
Snap shareWilliams: 75% (best)Brown: 71%
Usage worthptsWilliams: 17.7 (best)Brown: 16.4
Touch shareWilliams: 38%Brown: 38%
Target shareWilliams: 9%Brown: 15% (best)
Touches / gameWilliams: 18.4 (best)Brown: 18.3
Targets / gameWilliams: 3.1Brown: 5.5 (best)
Vacated touches this weekWilliams: 0.0Brown: 0.0
High value touches / gameWilliams: 5.6Brown: 5.8 (best)
Goal line carry shareWilliams: 94% (best)Brown: 67%
Red zone touches / gameWilliams: 4.9 (best)Brown: 2.7
Rush success rateWilliams: 47% (best)Brown: 38%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Williams: 2.7% (best)Brown: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredWilliams: Earned by usage 17.7Scored 18.6Brown: Earned by usage 16.4Scored 12.5
Rush yards / gameWilliams: 67.4 (best)Brown: 47.5
Points from rushingWilliams: 73%Brown: 46%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWilliams: AboveBrown: Below
WOPRWilliams: 0.12Brown: 0.21 (best)
RZ target shareWilliams: 7%Brown: 10% (best)
Inside 10 target shareWilliams: 0%Brown: 12% (best)
Catch rateWilliams: 86% (best)Brown: 85%
Rushing points / gameWilliams: 13.6 pts / game (best)Brown: 5.8 pts / game
Rushing floorWilliams: 8.1 pts / game (best)Brown: 5.2 pts / game
Range
FloorWilliams: 12.1 (best)Brown: 10.6
CeilingWilliams: 25.3 (best)Brown: 22.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilliams: 41%Brown: 8%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Williams: 27% (best)Brown: 16%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterWilliams: 4% (best)Brown: 10%
Steadiness±7.0 ptsWilliams: Very steady (best)Brown: Very steady
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmWilliams: C-Brown: B+ (best)
Game scriptWilliams: Expected to leadBrown: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilliams: 1.1Brown: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelWilliams: PassBrown: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedWilliams: 23rd (soft)Brown: 26th (soft) (best)
Backfield roleWilliams: LeadBrown: Lead
Roof / surfaceturfWilliams: Retractable roofBrown: Open
Rest / scheduleWilliams: NormalBrown: Normal
Opp paceWilliams: 2nd (fast) (best)Brown: 32nd (slow)
Opp stuff rateWilliams: 16% (best)23rd (soft)Brown: 19%13th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedWilliams: 4.3 (best)21st (average)Brown: 4.112th (average)
Opp pass yds allowedWilliams: 21st (average)Brown: 23rd (soft) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / game24th (soft)Williams: 0.1Brown: 0.1
Opp catch rate allowedWilliams: 71%8th (tough)Brown: 80% (best)18th (average)
Starting QBWilliams: Prescott (Active)Brown: Burrow (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgWilliams: 16.2 (best)Brown: 12.0
Last 5 avgWilliams: 19.7 (best)Brown: 11.2
vs seasonWilliams: −2.4 (Cooling)Brown: −0.5 (Steady) (best)
Yards per carryWilliams: 4.3 (best)Brown: 3.5
Carries / gameWilliams: 15.7 (best)Brown: 13.7
Yards per route runWilliams: 0.93Brown: 1.15 (best)
Receiving aDOTWilliams: −1.6Brown: −0.8
Touch share trendWilliams: SteadyBrown: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilliams: 99% (best)Brown: 90%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilliams: RB5 (best)Brown: RB8
Yards linerushingWilliams: 77.5 (best)Brown: 57.0
Deciding on someone else?
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