Okonkwo
TE · WAS vs IND
Proj pts
5.5pts
opportunity
Kmet
TE · CHI vs NYJ
Proj pts
5.4pts
market
Chig Okonkwo or Cole Kmet: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Chig Okonkwo over Cole Kmet by 0.1. Chig Okonkwo leads at 5.5. Cole Kmet is the first one out, 0.1 short.
Availability & news
Chig OkonkwoPractice: Limited
Okonkwo (hamstring) was a limited participant at Thursday's practice.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs TE
Cons
- Rotational role64% of snaps
- Shaky floor3.9 floor
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · B+ vs TE
Cons
- Low TE usage10% target share
- Thin volume3.0 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 5 avg: Okonkwo 8.8, Kmet 4.1.
Okonkwo (Practice: Limited): “Okonkwo (hamstring) was a limited participant at Thursday's practice.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Okonkwo 3.6, Kmet 0 (PPR points).
Why Chig Okonkwo
Start Chig Okonkwo — projects 5.5, a favorable matchup vs IND.
Chig Okonkwo projects 5.5 points on a 3.9–12.4 range. The matchup grades as favorable against IND. Usage: targets / game at 4.6. Net: start Chig Okonkwo this week.
Working for Okonkwo: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs TE).
Working against Okonkwo: Rotational role (64% of snaps), Shaky floor (3.9 floor).
Where Okonkwo leads the head-to-head: Projection (5.5 vs 5.4); Floor (3.9 vs 2.8); Ceiling (12.4 vs 9.6); Target share (15% vs 10%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A- vs B+); Last 3 avg (6.8 vs 3.8); Last 5 avg (8.8 vs 4.1); vs season (+1.5 vs -0.8); Consistency (42% vs 36%); Bust rate (24% vs 25%); Targets / game (4.6 vs 3.0).
Why Cole Kmet
Sit Cole Kmet — projects 5.4, a favorable matchup vs NYJ, but the role is cooling.
Cole Kmet projects 5.4 points on a 2.8–9.6 range. The matchup grades as favorable against NYJ. Usage: targets / game at 3.0. Net: bench Cole Kmet this week.
Working for Kmet: Favorable matchup (Favorable · B+ vs TE).
Working against Kmet: Low TE usage (10% target share), Thin volume (3.0 targets/g).
Where Kmet leads the head-to-head: Implied team total (23.5 vs 22.5); Boom rate (25% vs 18%); Snap share (71% vs 64%); Red zone targets (9 vs 5); Touchdown dependence (15% vs 10%).
Recent form
Chig Okonkwo's last 5 games: PPR points 7.3, 16.4, 14.5, 2.2, 3.6 (oldest to newest).
Cole Kmet's last 5 games: PPR points 3.6, 5.6, 11.5, 0, 0 (oldest to newest).
Okonkwo has already beaten Kmet's 5.4 projection in 3 of his 5; Kmet has beaten Okonkwo's 5.5 in 2 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Chig Okonkwo (WAS) faces IND, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +3.5.
Cole Kmet (CHI) faces NYJ, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread -3.5.
What flips it
Okonkwo's edge is 0.1 points (5.5 to 5.4). Kmet's ceiling (9.6) clears Okonkwo's projection, so a big game from Kmet flips it. Okonkwo's floor (3.9) sits under Kmet's projection, so a quiet game from Okonkwo flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Brenton Strange or Colston Loveland11.5 · 11.4
- Mark Andrews or Tucker Kraft12.9 · 13.0
- Dalton Schultz or Kenyon Sadiq13.6 · 13.5
- Sam LaPorta or Travis Kelce14.9 · 15.1
- Harold Fannin Jr. or Tucker Kraft13.2 · 13.0
- AJ Barner or Hunter Henry11.0 · 11.2
- More TE start/sit calls (tight ends this week)