Okonkwo
TE · WAS vs IND
Proj pts
5.5pts
opportunity
Smith
TE · GB vs TB
Proj pts
5.1pts
market
Chig Okonkwo or Jonnu Smith: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Chig Okonkwo over Jonnu Smith by 0.4. Chig Okonkwo leads at 5.5. Jonnu Smith is the first one out, 0.4 short.
Availability & news
Chig OkonkwoPractice: Limited
Okonkwo (hamstring) was a limited participant at Thursday's practice.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs TE
Cons
- Rotational role64% of snaps
- Shaky floor3.9 floor
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs TE
Cons
- Low TE usage11% target share
- Thin volume3.2 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 5 avg: Okonkwo 8.8, Smith 4.9.
Okonkwo (Practice: Limited): “Okonkwo (hamstring) was a limited participant at Thursday's practice.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Okonkwo 3.6, Smith 3.6 (PPR points).
Why Chig Okonkwo
Start Chig Okonkwo — projects 5.5, a favorable matchup vs IND.
Chig Okonkwo projects 5.5 points on a 3.9–12.4 range. The matchup grades as favorable against IND. Usage: targets / game at 4.6. Net: start Chig Okonkwo this week.
Working for Okonkwo: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs TE).
Working against Okonkwo: Rotational role (64% of snaps), Shaky floor (3.9 floor).
Where Okonkwo leads the head-to-head: Projection (5.5 vs 5.1); Floor (3.9 vs 1.5); Ceiling (12.4 vs 8.8); Target share (15% vs 11%); Implied team total (22.5 vs 21.0); Last 3 avg (6.8 vs 4.0); Last 5 avg (8.8 vs 4.9); vs season (+1.5 vs +0.7); Consistency (42% vs 24%); Bust rate (24% vs 29%); Targets / game (4.6 vs 3.2); Snap share (64% vs 53%).
Why Jonnu Smith
Sit Jonnu Smith — projects 5.1, a favorable matchup vs TB.
Jonnu Smith projects 5.1 points on a 1.5–8.8 range. The matchup grades as favorable against TB. Usage: targets / game at 3.2. Net: bench Jonnu Smith this week.
Working for Smith: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs TE).
Working against Smith: Low TE usage (11% target share), Thin volume (3.2 targets/g).
Where Smith leads the head-to-head: Boom rate (24% vs 18%); Red zone targets (8 vs 5); Touchdown dependence (14% vs 10%).
Recent form
Chig Okonkwo's last 5 games: PPR points 7.3, 16.4, 14.5, 2.2, 3.6 (oldest to newest).
Jonnu Smith's last 5 games: PPR points 2.8, 9.7, 1.4, 7, 3.6 (oldest to newest).
Okonkwo has already beaten Smith's 5.1 projection in 3 of his 5; Smith has beaten Okonkwo's 5.5 in 2 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Chig Okonkwo (WAS) faces IND, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +3.5.
Jonnu Smith (GB) faces TB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread -3.5.
What flips it
Okonkwo's edge is 0.4 points (5.5 to 5.1). Smith's ceiling (8.8) clears Okonkwo's projection, so a big game from Smith flips it. Okonkwo's floor (3.9) sits under Smith's projection, so a quiet game from Okonkwo flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Brenton Strange or Colston Loveland11.5 · 11.4
- Mark Andrews or Tucker Kraft12.9 · 13.0
- Dalton Schultz or Kenyon Sadiq13.6 · 13.5
- Sam LaPorta or Travis Kelce14.9 · 15.1
- Harold Fannin Jr. or Tucker Kraft13.2 · 13.0
- AJ Barner or Hunter Henry11.0 · 11.2
- More TE start/sit calls (tight ends this week)