Okonkwo
TE · WAS vs IND
Proj pts
5.5pts
opportunity
Gray
TE · KC vs LV
Proj pts
5.1pts
market
Chig Okonkwo or Noah Gray: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Chig Okonkwo over Noah Gray by 0.4. Chig Okonkwo leads at 5.5. Noah Gray is the first one out, 0.4 short.
Availability & news
Chig OkonkwoPractice: Limited
Okonkwo (hamstring) was a limited participant at Thursday's practice.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs TE
Cons
- Rotational role64% of snaps
- Shaky floor3.9 floor
Pros
- Big-play upside36% boom weeks
Cons
- Low TE usage8% target share
- Thin volume2.6 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 5 avg: Okonkwo 8.8, Gray 2.8.
Okonkwo (Practice: Limited): “Okonkwo (hamstring) was a limited participant at Thursday's practice.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Okonkwo 3.6 (PPR points).
Why Chig Okonkwo
Start Chig Okonkwo — projects 5.5, a favorable matchup vs IND.
Chig Okonkwo projects 5.5 points on a 3.9–12.4 range. The matchup grades as favorable against IND. Usage: targets / game at 4.6. Net: start Chig Okonkwo this week.
Working for Okonkwo: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs TE).
Working against Okonkwo: Rotational role (64% of snaps), Shaky floor (3.9 floor).
Where Okonkwo leads the head-to-head: Projection (5.5 vs 5.1); Floor (3.9 vs 1.2); Ceiling (12.4 vs 6.0); Target share (15% vs 8%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A- vs D-); Last 3 avg (6.8 vs 2.8); Last 5 avg (8.8 vs 2.8); vs season (+1.5 vs -0.1); Consistency (42% vs 29%); Bust rate (24% vs 43%); Targets / game (4.6 vs 2.6); Snap share (64% vs 53%); Red zone targets (5 vs 3); Touchdown dependence (10% vs 0%).
Why Noah Gray
Sit Noah Gray — projects 5.1, a tough matchup vs LV.
Noah Gray projects 5.1 points on a 1.2–6.0 range. The matchup grades as tough against LV. Usage: targets / game at 2.6. Net: bench Noah Gray this week.
Working for Gray: Big-play upside (36% boom weeks).
Working against Gray: Low TE usage (8% target share), Thin volume (2.6 targets/g).
Where Gray leads the head-to-head: Implied team total (26.0 vs 22.5); Boom rate (36% vs 18%).
Recent form
Chig Okonkwo's last 5 games: PPR points 7.3, 16.4, 14.5, 2.2, 3.6 (oldest to newest).
Noah Gray's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 1.5, 6.9 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Okonkwo has already beaten Gray's 5.1 projection in 3 of his 5; Gray has beaten Okonkwo's 5.5 in 1 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Chig Okonkwo (WAS) faces IND, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +3.5.
Noah Gray (KC) faces LV, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 26.0, spread -4.5.
What flips it
Okonkwo's edge is 0.4 points (5.5 to 5.1). Gray's ceiling (6) clears Okonkwo's projection, so a big game from Gray flips it. Okonkwo's floor (3.9) sits under Gray's projection, so a quiet game from Okonkwo flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Brenton Strange or Colston Loveland11.5 · 11.4
- Mark Andrews or Tucker Kraft12.9 · 13.0
- Dalton Schultz or Kenyon Sadiq13.6 · 13.5
- Sam LaPorta or Travis Kelce14.9 · 15.1
- Harold Fannin Jr. or Tucker Kraft13.2 · 13.0
- AJ Barner or Hunter Henry11.0 · 11.2
- More TE start/sit calls (tight ends this week)