Scoring
#1 Start

Godwin

WR · TB vs GB

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

8.4pts

market

Mod Conf
Bench

Bell

WR · MIA vs MIN

Questionable
Sun 4:05 PM

Proj pts

7.9pts

market

Mod Conf

Chris Bell or Chris Godwin Jr.: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Chris Godwin Jr over Chris Bell by 0.5. Chris Godwin Jr. leads at 8.4. Chris Bell is the first one out, 0.5 short.

Availability & news

  • Chris Godwin Jr.

    Godwin (ankle) was a full practice participant Thursday, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

  • Chris BellQuestionable

    Bell (knee) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

Highlights

Chris Godwin Jr.Start
WR · TB vs GB

Cons

  • Low team total18.0 team total
Chris BellBench
WR · MIA vs MIN

Pros

  • Big-play upside33% boom weeks

Cons

  • Low target share10% target share
  • Thin volume3.3 targets/g

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

GodwinStart
BellBench
Projection8.47.9
Floor7.2—
Ceiling12.9—
Target share18%10%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)C+F
Implied team total18.014.0

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is consistency: Godwin 31%, Bell 6%.

Godwin: “Godwin (ankle) was a full practice participant Thursday, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Bell (Questionable): “Bell (knee) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Godwin 5.5 (PPR points).

Why Chris Godwin Jr.

Start Chris Godwin Jr. — projects 8.4, an even matchup vs GB, but the role is cooling.

Chris Godwin Jr. projects 8.4 points on a 7.2–12.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against GB. Usage: targets / game at 5.7. Net: start Chris Godwin Jr. this week.

Working against Godwin: Low team total (18.0 team total).

Where Godwin leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.4 vs 7.9); Target share (18% vs 10%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C+ vs F); Implied team total (18.0 vs 14.0); Last 3 avg (7.5 vs 4.7); Last 5 avg (9.6 vs 4.7); vs season (+0.2 vs +0.0); Consistency (31% vs 6%); Bust rate (22% vs 33%); Targets / game (5.7 vs 3.3); Snap share (71% vs 55%); Red zone targets (8 vs 0).

Why Chris Bell

Sit Chris Bell — projects 7.9, a tough matchup vs MIN.

Chris Bell projects 7.9 points. The matchup grades as tough against MIN. Usage: targets / game at 3.3. Net: bench Chris Bell this week.

Working for Bell: Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).

Working against Bell: Low target share (10% target share), Thin volume (3.3 targets/g).

Where Bell leads the head-to-head: Boom rate (33% vs 22%).

Recent form

Chris Godwin Jr.'s last 5 games: PPR points 23.8, 1.8, 8.3, 8.8, 5.5 (oldest to newest).

Chris Bell's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 3.5, 10.7 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Godwin has already beaten Bell's 7.9 projection in 3 of his 5; Bell has beaten Godwin's 8.4 in 1 of his 3.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Chris Godwin Jr. (TB) faces GB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +3.5.

Chris Bell (MIA) faces MIN, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 14.0, spread +10.5.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.