Kupp
WR · SEA vs LAC
Proj pts
8.8pts
market
Godwin
WR · TB vs GB
Proj pts
8.4pts
market
Chris Godwin Jr. or Cooper Kupp: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Cooper Kupp over Chris Godwin Jr by 0.4. Cooper Kupp leads at 8.8. Chris Godwin Jr. is the first one out, 0.3 short.
Availability & news
Chris Godwin Jr.
Godwin (ankle) was a full practice participant Thursday, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Cons
- Thin volume4.4 targets/g
- Tough matchupTough · D+ vs WR
Cons
- Low team total18.0 team total
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Kupp 16, Godwin 8.
Godwin: “Godwin (ankle) was a full practice participant Thursday, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Kupp 14.6, Godwin 5.5 (PPR points).
Why Cooper Kupp
Start Cooper Kupp — projects 8.8, a tough matchup vs LAC.
Cooper Kupp projects 8.8 points on a 4.8–10.8 range. The matchup grades as tough against LAC. Usage: targets / game at 4.4. Net: start Cooper Kupp this week.
Working against Kupp: Thin volume (4.4 targets/g), Tough matchup (Tough · D+ vs WR).
Where Kupp leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.8 vs 8.4); Implied team total (24.8 vs 18.0); Last 3 avg (8.0 vs 7.5); Consistency (48% vs 31%); Boom rate (25% vs 22%); Bust rate (19% vs 22%); Snap share (76% vs 71%); Red zone targets (16 vs 8).
Why Chris Godwin Jr.
Sit Chris Godwin Jr. — projects 8.4, an even matchup vs GB, but the role is cooling.
Chris Godwin Jr. projects 8.4 points on a 7.2–12.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against GB. Usage: targets / game at 5.7. Net: bench Chris Godwin Jr. this week.
Working against Godwin: Low team total (18.0 team total).
Where Godwin leads the head-to-head: Floor (7.2 vs 4.8); Ceiling (12.9 vs 10.8); Target share (18% vs 16%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C+ vs D+); Last 5 avg (9.6 vs 6.1); vs season (+0.2 vs -0.9); Targets / game (5.7 vs 4.4).
Recent form
Cooper Kupp's last 5 games: PPR points 1.6, 4.9, 5.5, 4, 14.6 (oldest to newest).
Chris Godwin Jr.'s last 5 games: PPR points 23.8, 1.8, 8.3, 8.8, 5.5 (oldest to newest).
Kupp has already beaten Godwin's 8.4 projection in 1 of his 5; Godwin has beaten Kupp's 8.8 in 2 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Cooper Kupp (SEA) faces LAC, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 24.8, spread -7.0.
Chris Godwin Jr. (TB) faces GB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +3.5.
What flips it
Kupp's edge is 0.4 points (8.8 to 8.4). Godwin's ceiling (12.9) clears Kupp's projection, so a big game from Godwin flips it. Kupp's floor (4.8) sits under Godwin's projection, so a quiet game from Kupp flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Mike Evans or Quentin Johnston9.7 · 9.7
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.2 · 15.2
- DJ Moore or DK Metcalf12.5 · 12.5
- Tee Higgins or Zay Flowers16.5 · 16.5
- Christian Watson or George Pickens16.8 · 16.8
- Justin Jefferson or KC Concepcion11.1 · 11.1
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)