Godwin
WR · TB vs GB
Proj pts
8.4pts
market
Lemon
WR · PHI vs LA
Proj pts
8.4pts
market
Chris Godwin Jr. or Makai Lemon: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Chris Godwin Jr over Makai Lemon; the two are level at 8.4. Chris Godwin Jr. leads at 8.4. Makai Lemon is the first one out, 0.1 short.
Availability & news
Chris Godwin Jr.
Godwin (ankle) was a full practice participant Thursday, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Cons
- Low team total18.0 team total
Pros
- Big-play upside33% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share12% target share
- Thin volume3.0 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 5 avg: Godwin 9.6, Lemon 3.4.
Godwin: “Godwin (ankle) was a full practice participant Thursday, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Godwin 5.5 (PPR points).
Why Chris Godwin Jr.
Start Chris Godwin Jr. — projects 8.4, an even matchup vs GB, but the role is cooling.
Chris Godwin Jr. projects 8.4 points on a 7.2–12.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against GB. Usage: targets / game at 5.7. Net: start Chris Godwin Jr. this week.
Working against Godwin: Low team total (18.0 team total).
Where Godwin leads the head-to-head: Target share (18% vs 12%); Last 3 avg (7.5 vs 3.4); Last 5 avg (9.6 vs 3.4); vs season (+0.2 vs +0.0); Targets / game (5.7 vs 3.0); Snap share (71% vs 66%); Red zone targets (8 vs 0).
Why Makai Lemon
Sit Makai Lemon — projects 8.4, an even matchup vs LA.
Makai Lemon projects 8.4 points. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: targets / game at 3.0. Net: bench Makai Lemon this week.
Working for Lemon: Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).
Working against Lemon: Low target share (12% target share), Thin volume (3.0 targets/g).
Where Lemon leads the head-to-head: Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B vs C+); Implied team total (20.3 vs 18.0); Consistency (49% vs 31%); Boom rate (33% vs 22%); Bust rate (0% vs 22%).
Recent form
Chris Godwin Jr.'s last 5 games: PPR points 23.8, 1.8, 8.3, 8.8, 5.5 (oldest to newest).
Makai Lemon's last 3 games: PPR points 1.9, 2.5, 5.9 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Godwin has already beaten Lemon's 8.4 projection in 2 of his 5; Lemon has beaten Godwin's 8.4 in 0 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Chris Godwin Jr. (TB) faces GB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +3.5.
Makai Lemon (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.3, spread +3.0.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Mike Evans or Quentin Johnston9.7 · 9.7
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.2 · 15.2
- DJ Moore or DK Metcalf12.5 · 12.5
- Tee Higgins or Zay Flowers16.5 · 16.5
- Christian Watson or George Pickens16.8 · 16.8
- Justin Jefferson or KC Concepcion11.1 · 11.1
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)