Godwin
WR · TB vs GB
Proj pts
8.4pts
market
Bryant
WR · DEN vs SF
Proj pts
8.3pts
market
Chris Godwin Jr. or Pat Bryant: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Chris Godwin Jr over Pat Bryant by 0.1. Chris Godwin Jr. leads at 8.4. Pat Bryant is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Availability & news
Chris Godwin Jr.
Godwin (ankle) was a full practice participant Thursday, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Cons
- Low team total18.0 team total
Cons
- Low target share11% target share
- Thin volume3.8 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is target share: Godwin 18%, Bryant 11%.
Godwin: “Godwin (ankle) was a full practice participant Thursday, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Godwin 5.5 (PPR points).
Why Chris Godwin Jr.
Start Chris Godwin Jr. — projects 8.4, an even matchup vs GB, but the role is cooling.
Chris Godwin Jr. projects 8.4 points on a 7.2–12.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against GB. Usage: targets / game at 5.7. Net: start Chris Godwin Jr. this week.
Working against Godwin: Low team total (18.0 team total).
Where Godwin leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.4 vs 8.3); Target share (18% vs 11%); Last 5 avg (9.6 vs 8.1); vs season (+0.2 vs -0.5); Consistency (31% vs 30%); Bust rate (22% vs 25%); Targets / game (5.7 vs 3.8); Snap share (71% vs 53%).
Why Pat Bryant
Sit Pat Bryant — projects 8.3, an even matchup vs SF.
Pat Bryant projects 8.3 points on a 7.2–13.1 range. The matchup grades as neutral against SF. Usage: targets / game at 3.8. Net: bench Pat Bryant this week.
Working against Bryant: Low target share (11% target share), Thin volume (3.8 targets/g).
Where Bryant leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (13.1 vs 12.9); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B- vs C+); Implied team total (22.3 vs 18.0); Last 3 avg (8.1 vs 7.5); Boom rate (25% vs 22%).
Recent form
Chris Godwin Jr.'s last 5 games: PPR points 23.8, 1.8, 8.3, 8.8, 5.5 (oldest to newest).
Pat Bryant's last 3 games: PPR points 1.6, 8.2, 14.4 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Godwin has already beaten Bryant's 8.3 projection in 3 of his 5; Bryant has beaten Godwin's 8.4 in 1 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Chris Godwin Jr. (TB) faces GB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +3.5.
Pat Bryant (DEN) faces SF, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 22.3, spread +3.0.
What flips it
Godwin's edge is 0.1 points (8.4 to 8.3). Bryant's ceiling (13.1) clears Godwin's projection, so a big game from Bryant flips it. Godwin's floor (7.2) sits under Bryant's projection, so a quiet game from Godwin flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Mike Evans or Quentin Johnston9.7 · 9.7
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.2 · 15.2
- DJ Moore or DK Metcalf12.5 · 12.5
- Tee Higgins or Zay Flowers16.5 · 16.5
- Christian Watson or George Pickens16.8 · 16.8
- Justin Jefferson or KC Concepcion11.1 · 11.1
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)