Rodriguez
RB · JAX vs CIN
Proj pts
6.7pts
market
Miller
RB · NO vs ATL
Proj pts
6.6pts
market
Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Kendre Miller: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Chris Rodriguez Jr over Kendre Miller by 0.1. Chris Rodriguez Jr. leads at 6.7. Kendre Miller is the first one out, 0.1 short.
Availability & news
Kendre Miller
Miller was a non-participant in Thursday's practice due to an illness, Mike Triplett of NewOrleans.Football reports.(rotowire, Sep 24, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Goal-line back1.2 GL carries/g
- Run-funnel matchupRun-funnel vs RB
Cons
- Committee back15% of touches
- Shaky floor4.3 floor
Pros
- Positive game scriptFavored
Cons
- Committee back6% of touches
- Shaky floor5.7 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone carries: Rodriguez 33, Miller 5.
Miller: “Miller was a non-participant in Thursday's practice due to an illness, Mike Triplett of NewOrleans.Football reports.” — RotoWire, Sep 24, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Rodriguez 9.7, Miller 3.9 (PPR points).
Why Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. — projects 6.7, a run-funnel matchup vs CIN, but the role is cooling.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects 6.7 points on a 4.3–14.0 range. The matchup grades as run-funnel against CIN. Usage: carries / game at 9.3. Net: start Chris Rodriguez Jr. this week.
Working for Rodriguez: Goal-line back (1.2 GL carries/g), Run-funnel matchup (Run-funnel vs RB).
Working against Rodriguez: Committee back (15% of touches), Shaky floor (4.3 floor).
Where Rodriguez leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.7 vs 6.6); Ceiling (14.0 vs 10.4); Touch share (15% vs 6%); Opportunity score (6.4 vs 5.3); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A+ vs C); Last 5 avg (7.2 vs 4.7); Carries / game (9.3 vs 6.7); Touches / game (9.6 vs 7.4); Yards per carry (4.5 vs 4.1); Snap share (34% vs 24%); Goal line carries (14 vs 0); Red zone carries (33 vs 5).
Why Kendre Miller
Sit Kendre Miller — projects 6.6, an even matchup vs ATL.
Kendre Miller projects 6.6 points on a 5.7–10.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against ATL. Usage: carries / game at 6.7. Net: bench Kendre Miller this week.
Working for Miller: Positive game script (Favored).
Working against Miller: Committee back (6% of touches), Shaky floor (5.7 floor).
Where Miller leads the head-to-head: Floor (5.7 vs 4.3); Implied team total (25.8 vs 24.5); Last 3 avg (4.5 vs 4.4); vs season (-0.2 vs -1.1); Consistency (54% vs 49%); Boom rate (25% vs 20%); Bust rate (0% vs 10%); Target share (2% vs 1%).
Recent form
Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s last 4 games: PPR points 15.3, 2.3, 1.3, 9.7 (oldest to newest).
Kendre Miller's last 5 games: PPR points 5.9, 4.2, 0.7, 9, 3.9 (oldest to newest).
Rodriguez has already beaten Miller's 6.6 projection in 2 of his 4; Miller has beaten Rodriguez's 6.7 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Chris Rodriguez Jr. (JAX) faces CIN, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated run-funnel. Betting line: implied team total 24.5, spread +2.5.
Kendre Miller (NO) faces ATL, kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 25.8, spread -3.0.
What flips it
Rodriguez's edge is 0.1 points (6.7 to 6.6). Miller's ceiling (10.4) clears Rodriguez's projection, so a big game from Miller flips it. Rodriguez's floor (4.3) sits under Miller's projection, so a quiet game from Rodriguez flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Omarion Hampton or Tony Pollard12.1 · 12.1
- Alvin Kamara or Quinshon Judkins17.8 · 17.8
- Emanuel Wilson or Jadarian Price9.8 · 9.7
- Bhayshul Tuten or David Montgomery17.0 · 17.1
- Ashton Jeanty or Jeremiyah Love22.6 · 22.4
- Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor28.2 · 28.4
- More RB start/sit calls (running backs this week)