Miller
RB · NO vs ATL
Proj pts
6.6pts
market
Allgeier
RB · ARI vs NYG
Proj pts
6.5pts
market
Kendre Miller or Tyler Allgeier: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Kendre Miller over Tyler Allgeier by 0.1. Kendre Miller leads at 6.6. Tyler Allgeier is the first one out, 0.1 short.
Availability & news
Kendre Miller
Miller was a non-participant in Thursday's practice due to an illness, Mike Triplett of NewOrleans.Football reports.(rotowire, Sep 24, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Positive game scriptFavored
Cons
- Committee back6% of touches
- Shaky floor5.7 floor
Pros
- Run-funnel matchupRun-funnel vs RB
Cons
- Committee back19% of touches
- Shaky floor4.3 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone carries: Miller 5, Allgeier 32.
Miller: “Miller was a non-participant in Thursday's practice due to an illness, Mike Triplett of NewOrleans.Football reports.” — RotoWire, Sep 24, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Miller 3.9, Allgeier 4.9 (PPR points).
Why Kendre Miller
Start Kendre Miller — projects 6.6, an even matchup vs ATL.
Kendre Miller projects 6.6 points on a 5.7–10.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against ATL. Usage: carries / game at 6.7. Net: start Kendre Miller this week.
Working for Miller: Positive game script (Favored).
Working against Miller: Committee back (6% of touches), Shaky floor (5.7 floor).
Where Miller leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.6 vs 6.5); Floor (5.7 vs 4.3); Ceiling (10.4 vs 8.9); Implied team total (25.8 vs 23.0); Last 5 avg (4.7 vs 4.6); vs season (-0.2 vs -1.7); Consistency (54% vs 40%); Boom rate (25% vs 23%); Bust rate (0% vs 31%); Yards per carry (4.1 vs 3.6).
Why Tyler Allgeier
Sit Tyler Allgeier — projects 6.5, a run-funnel matchup vs NYG.
Tyler Allgeier projects 6.5 points on a 4.3–8.9 range. The matchup grades as run-funnel against NYG. Usage: carries / game at 8.4. Net: bench Tyler Allgeier this week.
Working for Allgeier: Run-funnel matchup (Run-funnel vs RB).
Working against Allgeier: Committee back (19% of touches), Shaky floor (4.3 floor).
Where Allgeier leads the head-to-head: Touch share (19% vs 6%); Opportunity score (6.7 vs 5.3); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A vs C); Last 3 avg (5.9 vs 4.5); Carries / game (8.4 vs 6.7); Touches / game (9.2 vs 7.4); Target share (3% vs 2%); Snap share (30% vs 24%); Goal line carries (10 vs 0); Red zone carries (32 vs 5).
Recent form
Kendre Miller's last 5 games: PPR points 5.9, 4.2, 0.7, 9, 3.9 (oldest to newest).
Tyler Allgeier's last 5 games: PPR points 2.3, 2.9, 9, 3.9, 4.9 (oldest to newest).
Miller has already beaten Allgeier's 6.5 projection in 1 of his 5; Allgeier has beaten Miller's 6.6 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Kendre Miller (NO) faces ATL, kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 25.8, spread -3.0.
Tyler Allgeier (ARI) faces NYG, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated run-funnel. Betting line: implied team total 23.0, spread -1.5.
What flips it
Miller's edge is 0.1 points (6.6 to 6.5). Allgeier's ceiling (8.9) clears Miller's projection, so a big game from Allgeier flips it. Miller's floor (5.7) sits under Allgeier's projection, so a quiet game from Miller flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Omarion Hampton or Tony Pollard12.1 · 12.1
- Alvin Kamara or Quinshon Judkins17.8 · 17.8
- Emanuel Wilson or Jadarian Price9.8 · 9.7
- Bhayshul Tuten or David Montgomery17.0 · 17.1
- Ashton Jeanty or Jeremiyah Love22.6 · 22.4
- Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor28.2 · 28.4
- More RB start/sit calls (running backs this week)