London
WR · ATL @ TB
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points17.4pts
Watson
WR · GB vs CAR
FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR
Final points17.3pts
projected 14.8
Christian Watson or Drake London: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Highlights
LondonWR · ATL @ TBUsually 15.4+2.0pts this week
Helps him
- +2.2ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.51 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.
- +1.1ptscatchesHis lines put him at 6.5 catches, above his usual 5.4.
- 29%targetsHe draws 29% of his team’s targets.
- 10.4floorA quiet week still projects to about 10.4 points.
Hurts him
- −1.1ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 77.5 receiving yards, below his usual 88.0.
- TBvs WRsEdgeTB is the 3rd toughest defense for receivers.
WatsonWR · GB vs CARUsually 18.5−3.7pts this week
Helps him
- 39%big weeks39% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −2.0ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.53 touchdowns, below his usual 0.86.
- −1.3ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 72.0 receiving yards, below his usual 85.0.
- CARvs WRsEdgeCAR is the 6th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionLondon: 17.4 (best)Watson: 14.8
TD pointsof the projectionLondon: 3.1Watson: 3.2 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekLondon: 0.51Watson: 0.53 (best)
Projected team pointsLondon: 20.5Watson: 25.5 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameLondon: 0.7Watson: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareLondon: 89% (best)Watson: 80%
Usage worthptsLondon: 13.5Watson: 14.1 (best)
Target shareLondon: 29% (best)Watson: 22%
Targets / gameLondon: 8.0Watson: 8.0
Air yards shareLondon: 44% (best)Watson: 31%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsLondon: In lineWatson: Above
WOPRLondon: 0.73 (best)Watson: 0.54
RZ target shareLondon: 16%Watson: 18% (best)
Catch rateLondon: 68% (best)Watson: 61%
SeparationLondon: 3.1 yds (best)Watson: 2.5 yds
YAC over expectedLondon: +1.8 (best)Watson: +0.2
Usage worth vs scoredLondon: Earned by usage 13.5Scored 15.4Watson: Earned by usage 14.1Scored 18.5
Vacated targets this weekLondon: 0.0Watson: 8.8 (best)
Inside 10 target shareLondon: 9%Watson: 22% (best)
Range
FloorLondon: 10.4 (best)Watson: 8.4
CeilingLondon: 28.6 (best)Watson: 26.6
Points from TDssteadier when lowerLondon: 6%Watson: 28%
Big weeks (20+ pts)London: 25%Watson: 39% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterLondon: 17%Watson: 12% (best)
SteadinessLondon: Steady (best)±9.6 ptsWatson: Steady±9.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionLondon: D-2026, 7 gmWatson: D (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptLondon: Expected to trailWatson: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterLondon: 1.7Watson: 1.2 (best)
Defense funnelLondon: NeutralWatson: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedLondon: 14th (average) (best)Watson: 6th (tough)
Starting QBLondon: Penix (Active)Watson: Love (Active)
Opp defender outLondon: None listedWatson: Phillips (LB)
WeatherLondon: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainWatson: No concern
Roof / surfacegrassLondon: OpenWatson: Open
Rest / scheduleLondon: NormalWatson: Short week (4d)
Opp paceLondon: 14th (average)Watson: 6th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameLondon: 2.4 (best)9th (tough)Watson: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedLondon: 63% (best)20th (average)Watson: 61%15th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgLondon: 16.9Watson: 17.5 (best)
Last 5 avgLondon: 18.7 (best)Watson: 16.5
vs seasonLondon: +1.4 (Rising) (best)Watson: −1.0 (Steady)
Yards per route runLondon: 3.29 (best)Watson: 2.63
Receiving aDOTLondon: 9.9Watson: 13.4
Target share trendLondon: SteadyWatson: Cooling
Crowd
Started in leaguesLondon: 98%Watson: 98%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterLondon: WR7 (best)Watson: WR13
Yards linereceivingLondon: 77.5 (best)Watson: 72.0
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