Jefferson
WR · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.8pts
Watson
WR · GB vs CAR
FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR
Final points17.3pts
projected 14.8
Christian Watson or Justin Jefferson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Highlights
JeffersonWR · MIN @ DETUsually 16.7−0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +0.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 76.5 receiving yards, above his usual 67.5.
- 26%targetsHe draws 26% of his team’s targets.
- DETvs WRsEdgeDET is the 2nd softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.43 touchdowns, below his usual 0.75.
WatsonWR · GB vs CARUsually 18.5−3.7pts this week
Helps him
- 39%big weeks39% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −2.0ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.53 touchdowns, below his usual 0.86.
- −1.3ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 72.0 receiving yards, below his usual 85.0.
- CARvs WRsEdgeCAR is the 6th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJefferson: 15.8 (best)Watson: 14.8
TD pointsof the projectionJefferson: 2.6Watson: 3.2 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekJefferson: 0.43Watson: 0.53 (best)
Projected team pointsJefferson: 21.3Watson: 25.5 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameJefferson: 1.2 (best)Watson: 1.0
Role
Snap shareJefferson: 77%Watson: 80% (best)
Usage worthptsJefferson: 11.2Watson: 14.1 (best)
Target shareJefferson: 26% (best)Watson: 22%
Targets / gameJefferson: 6.2Watson: 8.0 (best)
Air yards shareJefferson: 35% (best)Watson: 31%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsJefferson: AboveWatson: Above
WOPRJefferson: 0.66 (best)Watson: 0.54
RZ target shareJefferson: 31% (best)Watson: 18%
Catch rateJefferson: 74% (best)Watson: 61%
SeparationJefferson: 2.9 yds (best)Watson: 2.5 yds
YAC over expectedJefferson: +1.0 (best)Watson: +0.2
Usage worth vs scoredJefferson: Earned by usage 11.2Scored 14.4Watson: Earned by usage 14.1Scored 18.5
Vacated targets this weekJefferson: 1.7Watson: 8.8 (best)
Inside 10 target shareJefferson: 25% (best)Watson: 22%
Range
FloorJefferson: 8.5 (best)Watson: 8.4
CeilingJefferson: 25.5Watson: 26.6 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJefferson: 25%Watson: 28%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Jefferson: 25%Watson: 39% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterJefferson: 0% (best)Watson: 12%
SteadinessJefferson: Steady±10.8 pts · 4 gamesWatson: Steady (best)±9.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmJefferson: A+ (best)Watson: D
Game scriptJefferson: Expected to trailWatson: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJefferson: 1.0 (best)Watson: 1.2
Defense funnelJefferson: NeutralWatson: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedJefferson: 32nd (soft) (best)Watson: 6th (tough)
Starting QBJefferson: Murray (Active)Watson: Love (Active)
Opp defender outJefferson: None listedWatson: Phillips (LB)
Roof / surfaceJefferson: DometurfWatson: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleJefferson: NormalWatson: Short week (4d)
Opp paceJefferson: 4th (fast) (best)Watson: 6th (fast)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameJefferson: 4.3 (best)28th (soft)Watson: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedJefferson: 66% (best)27th (soft)Watson: 61%15th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgJefferson: 10.8Watson: 17.5 (best)
Last 5 avgJefferson: 14.4Watson: 16.5 (best)
vs seasonJefferson: −3.6 (Cooling)Watson: −1.0 (Steady) (best)
Yards per route runJefferson: 2.90 (best)Watson: 2.63
Receiving aDOTJefferson: 10.9Watson: 13.4
Target share trendJefferson: Left Week 3 hurtWatson: Cooling
Games since injuryJefferson: 2Watson: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesJefferson: 97%Watson: 98% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJefferson: WR9 (best)Watson: WR13
Yards linereceivingJefferson: 76.5 (best)Watson: 72.0
Deciding on someone else?
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